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. 2008 Aug;14(8):1255–1258. doi: 10.3201/eid1408.080059

Table 1. Assessment of diagnostic performance of cutaneous temperature in predicting increased tympanic temperature*.

Characteristic Predicted tympanic temperature, °C†
>37.5 >38.0 >38.5
Cutaneous temperature threshold, °C‡ 37.5 38.0 38.5
Sensitivity 0.76 (0.69–0.82) 0.82 (0.71–0.90) 0.82 (0.67–0.91)
Specificity 0.65 (0.63–0.67) 0.77 (0.76–0.79) 0.90 (0.88–0.91)
Positive predictive value 0.16 (0.14–0.19) 0.10 (0.08–0.13) 0.13 (0.09–0.18)
Negative predictive value 0.97 (0.96–0.98) 0.99 (0.99–1.00) 1.00 (0.99–1.00)
Accuracy 0.66 (0.64–0.68) 0.78 (0.76–0.79) 0.90 (0.89–0.91)

*Values in parenthesis are 95% confidence intervals.
†Definition of hyperthermia.
‡Corresponds to the best threshold for a definition of cutaneous hyperthermia determined by using receiver operating characteristic curve.