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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2008 Dec 10.
Published in final edited form as: Water Resour Res. 2008 Sep;44(9):W09404. doi: 10.1029/2006WR005855

Table 4.

Number of Forecasts Issued With Various Forecast Probabilities Under Below-Normal and Above-Normal Categoriesa

Forecast
Probability		 Below Normal
 Above Normal
Res Reg MM3 MM4 Res Reg MM3 MM4
0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.1 4 1 0 0 3 5 0 0
0.2 24 22 2 10 18 11 6 10
0.3 17 12 33 29 22 27 28 25
0.4 10 20 28 23 9 12 30 24
0.5 9 11 9 9 12 10 13 15
0.6 3 5 4 3 9 10 1 4
0.7 10 6 2 3 4 3 0 0
0.8 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
0.9 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
1.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
a

Res, resampling; Reg, regression.