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. 2008 Dec 9;337:a2467. doi: 10.1136/bmj.a2467

Table 4.

 Remaining lifetime risk of first cancer or major cardiovascular disease event by age reached free of events in participants of Physicians’ Health Study

Age (years) Remaining lifetime risk (%) (95% CI)
All cancer Major cardiovascular disease All cardiovascular disease
40 45.1 (43.8 to 46.3) 34.8 (33.1 to 36.5) 41.3 (39.9 to 42.7)
50 44.5 (43.3 to 45.7) 34.5 (32.8 to 36.2) 40.5 (39.1 to 41.9)
60 42.9 (41.6 to 44.2) 33.0 (31.2 to 34.8) 38.0 (36.5 to 39.5)
70 36.6 (35.2 to 38.0) 30.5 (28.5 to 32.4) 33.2 (31.5 to 34.9)
80 24.3 (22.5 to 26.1) 25.7 (23.3 to 29.1) 24.9 (22.7 to 27.1)
90 9.6 (7.2 to 11.9) 16.7 (12.9 to 20.6) 13.7 (10.3 to 17.2)

Remaining lifetime risk=mortality adjusted cumulative risk conditional on disease-free survival to age specified.