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. 2008 Dec 23;3(12):e4005. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0004005

Table 2. Simulated final and peak daily attack rates for epidemics with non-pharmaceutical interventions.

Intervention scenario R0 = 1.5 R0 = 2.0 R0 = 2.5
Final attack rate % Peak daily attack rate (cases per 10000) Final attack rate % Peak daily attack rate (cases per 10000) Final attack rate % Peak daily attack rate (cases per 10000)
Baseline 33 89 55 279 65 474
School Closure 13 20 45 146 60 321
Case Isolation 6 9.0 30 78 49 221
Workplace Nonattendance 24 54 48 210 60 389
Community Contact Reduction 16 25 41 142. 55 291
School Closure+Case Isolation 3 4.0 8 12 30 67
School Closure+Workplace Nonattendance 6 10 34 80 54 25
School Closure+Community Contact Reduction 3 5.0 12 17 36 89
All Measures 2 3.0 2 4 3 5

Final attack rates and peak daily attack rates are given as percentages of the population, for epidemics with baseline R0 values of 1.5, 2.0 and 2.5. For each measure or combination of measures, results are given for optimal application (pre-emptive activation and indefinite duration). All results are means of 40 independent randomly seeded simulation runs.