Table 1.
Summary of projected range changes under full dispersal assumption for 74 endemic plant species using climate change scenarios for 2080 (Schatz et al. 2008).
| vegetation/bioclimate/geography | expansion (≥4 models) | contraction (≥4 models) | mixed | ‘worst case scenario’a |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eastern humid littoral forest | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| low- to mid-elevation humid to sub-humid forest | 3 | 15 | 4 | 6 |
| mid-elevation sub-humid forest | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| central high plateau sub-humid to montane tapia woodland | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| western dry forest | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| northern dry to sub-humid forest | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| southwestern sub-arid forest/thicket | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| western dry forest and southwestern sub-arid forest/thicket | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| southeastern sub-humid to sub-arid transitional forest | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| widespread/broad tolerance | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| totals | 25 | 42 | 7 | 18 |
a
At least one model projects ≥95% contraction.