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. 2007 Aug 31;363(1492):893–904. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2007.2190

Table 5.

Prediction of grain yield in China from 2000 to 2050.

year 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
cultivated area (Mha) 128.23 113.31 114.15 116.06 117.48 118.98
yield of grain per hectare (kg) 3245.8 3956.6 4591.8 5072.2 5492.9 5831.5
multiple cropping index (MCI) 1.6 1.61 1.62 1.63 1.63 1.63
proportion of the sown area of grain crops to that of farm crops (%) 69.4 65 62 61 60 58
total yield of grain (Mt) 462.17 469.18 526.47 585.33 631.09 655.95
output of grain per capita (kg) 360 342 365 401 435 468