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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2009 Oct 1.
Published in final edited form as: Obstet Gynecol. 2008 Oct;112(4):875–883. doi: 10.1097/AOG.0b013e31818638b5

Table 2.

Predicted probabilities and 95% confidence intervals for cardiovascular and metabolic syndrome risk factors.

Unaffected women Women with histories of
gestational diabetes
Women with
diagnosed diabetes
R2
Systolic blood pressure (mm Hg)
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, smoking, alcohol 113.0 (112.5, 114.0)* 112.0 (107.4, 116.6) 120.2 (115.1, 125.3) 0.21
Model 2-further adjusted for waist circumference 113.3 (112.6, 114.0) 110.8 (105.8, 115.9) 117.4 (112.7, 122.1) 0.28
Diastolic blood pressure (mm Hg)
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, smoking, alcohol 71.2 (70.5, 71.9) 69.3 (65.9, 72.6) 71.3 (68.7, 73.9) 0.09
Model 2-further adjusted for waist circumference 71.3 (70.6, 71.9) 68.3 (65.7, 70.9) 69.0 (66.8, 71.2) 0.18
Total cholesterol (mg/dl)
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, smoking, alcohol 198.9 (197.0, 200.9)* 200.4 (192.3, 208.4)* 219.9 (209.0, 230.9) 0.18
Model 2-further adjusted for waist circumference 199.1 (197.1, 201.1)* 199.0 (191.3, 206.6)* 216.9 (206.6, 227.1) 0.21
HDL cholesterol (mg/dl)
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, smoking, alcohol 53.8 (52.6, 54.9)* 55.9 (52.3, 59.5)* 48.5 (45.2, 51.8) 0.09
Model 2-further adjusted for waist circumference 53.6 (52.4, 54.7) 58.0 (54.5, 61.4)* 51.6 (48.8, 54.4) 0.20
Urine microalbumin/creatinine (reference < 30 ug/g)†
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, smoking, alcohol (reference)* 1.05 (1.01, 1.08)* 0.83 (0.70, 0.97) 0.01
Model 2-further adjusted for waist circumference (reference)* 1.05 (1.02, 1.08)* 0.85 (0.74, 0.99) 0.02
Uric acid (mg/dl)
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, smoking, alcohol 266.1 (262.3, 270.0) 268.1 (245.1, 291.2) 273.8 (252.8, 294.9) 0.05
Model 2-further adjusted for waist circumference 267.1 (263.3, 271.0) 258.1 (236.5, 279.7) 252.6 (235.6, 269.5) 0.25
LDL cholesterol (mg/dl)
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, smoking, alcohol 120.8 (117.6, 124.1)* 119.5 (106.8, 132.3) 140.2 (127.8, 152.6) 0.11
Model 2-further adjusted for waist circumference 120.9 (117.5, 124.2) 117.8 (105.9, 129.7) 138.0 (124.2, 151.7) 0.14
Triglycerides (mg/dl)
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, smoking, alcohol 116.7 (110.5, 122.9) 101.2 (78.7, 123.7) 323.0 (49.3, 596.8) 0.12
Model 2-further adjusted for waist circumference 117.3 (110.9, 123.6) 91.9 (70.7, 113.0) 314.9 (46.8, 582.9) 0.22
Fasting insulin (IU/l)
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, smoking, alcohol 10.2 (9.6, 10.8)* 13.0 (9.5, 16.5) 20.0 (14.6, 25.4) 0.11
Model 2-further adjusted for waist circumference 10.3 (9.7, 10.9)* 12.0 (9.2, 14.9) 18.5 (13.9, 23.2) 0.39
Fasting glucose (mg/dl)
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, smoking, alcohol 94.0 (93.2, 94.7)* 107.7 (97.7, 117.7)* 179.5 (144.2, 214.7) 0.33
Model 2-further adjusted for waist circumference 94.1 (93.3, 94.9)* 106.4 (97.3, 115.4)* 176.7 (140.6, 212.7) 0.37
Metabolic syndrome
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, parity, smoking, alcohol (reference)* 0.80 (0.42, 1.51)* 3.87 (2.85, 5.26) 0.09
Model 2-not done since waist circumference already included.
>3 Cardiovascular risk factors
Model 1-adjusted for age, race, diabetes family history, parity, smoking, alcohol (reference)* 0.69 (0.24, 1.99)* 5.19 (3.79, 7.10) 0.18
Model 2-further adjusted for waist circumference (reference)* 0.60 (0.19, 1.85)* 4.96 (3.44, 7.13) 0.20
*

Significant differences between groups are noted by lack of overlap in the 95% confidence intervals for the marginal predicted probabilities.