Table 2.
survival probability | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
actual event | assigned event | frequencya | no response | respond P1 | respond P2 | respond both |
none | none | (1−f)(1−g) | 1−rb | 1−rb | 1−rb | 1−rb |
P1 | P1 | f(1−g)(1−a21) | 1−pb | 1−c | 1−pb | 1−c |
P2 | P1 | (1−f)ga12 | 1−qb | 1−c | 1−qb | 1−c |
P2 | P2 | (1−f)g(1−a12) | 1−qb | 1−qb | 1−c | 1−c |
P1 | P2 | f(1−g)a21 | 1−pb | 1−pb | 1−c | 1−c |
both | P1 | fg(1−a21)a12 | (1−pb)(1−qb) | 1−c | (1−pb)(1−qb) | 1−c |
both | P2 | fga21(1−a12) | (1−pb)(1−qb) | (1−pb)(1−qb) | 1−c | 1−c |
both | both | fg(1−a21)(1−a12)+fga21a12 | (1−pb)(1−qb) | 1−c | 1−c | 1−c |
The conditional survival probability for one strategy is calculated by multiplying frequency by the survival probability for that strategy and then summing these products for each row.