Table 2.
Probabilities of detection | Name | Value | Source |
Proportion of female animals in small ruminant flock in CH and BH | PrFem | RiskPert (0.90; 0.96: 0.98) | [19] |
Proportion of pregnant animals in flock in CH and BH | PrPreg | RiskPert (0.70; 0.90; 0.95) | [19] |
Probability that an infected pregnant female will abort | Abort | RiskPert (0.187; 0.56; 0.70) | [20-22] |
Probability that farmer calls veterinarian in CH (= low DA) | FCallsVCH | RiskPert (0.10; 0.20; 0.30) | Personal experience DC Hadorn |
Probability that veterinarian takes sample in CH (= medium DA) | SamplCH | RiskPert (0.40; 0.50; 0.60) | Personal experience DC Hadorn |
Probability that farmer calls veterinarian in BH (= medium DA) | FCallsVBH | RiskPert (0.40; 0.50; 0.60) | [19] |
Probability that veterinarian takes sample in BH (= medium to high DA) | SamplBH | RiskPert (0.55; 0.65; 0.75) | [19] |
Diagnostic test sensitivity in CH and BH | TSens | 0.95 | |
Diagnostic test specificity in CH and BH | TSpec | 1.00 | [4] |
Input parameters for the stochastic simulation model to quantify the detection performance of abortion testing (ABT) for the surveillance of Brucella melitensis (Bm) in small ruminants in Switzerland (CH) and Bosnia and Herzegovina (BH).