Table 5.

Mean results of 10 Monte Carlo microsimulations

Patient Outcomes	Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR) Reporting	Serum Creatinine Reporting	Mean Difference Using eGFR Reporting
Deaths	4,627	4,640	−13
Transitions from CKD (FN-CKD or TP-CKD) to ESRD	1,259	1,288	−29
Number of FP-CKD categorizations	17,015	5,667	11,348
Patient-years spent in FN-CKD	253	2,325	−2,072
Patient-years spent in TP-CKD	22,196	19,842	2,354

Each microsimulation was composed of 10,000 trials of 18 one-year cycles. Serum creatinine and eGFR measurements occurred once per cycle. CKD, chronic kidney disease, stages 3 to 4 (glomerular filtration rate 15 to 59 ml/min/1.73 m²); FN-CKD, false negative state for patient with chronic kidney disease, stages 3 to 4; TP-CKD, true positive state for patient with chronic kidney disease, stages 3 to 4; ESRD, end stage renal disease (glomerular filtration rate < 15 ml/min/1.73 m²); FP-CKD, false-positive state for patient with chronic kidney disease, stages 3 to 4.