Table 4.
Multiple logistic regression analysis for predicting later adolescent mental disorders (12-month) (N=480)
| Substance use disorders | Internalizing disorders | Externalizing disorders | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables at wave 1 | b (S.E) | Wald χ2 | OR (95% CL) |
b (S.E) | Wald χ2 | OR (95% CL) |
b (S.E) | Wald χ2 | OR (95% CL) |
| Intercept | −8.18 (1.70) | 23.14*** | −3.47 (2.22) | 2.43 | 0.15 (1.61) | 0.01 | |||
| Demographic factors | |||||||||
| Female | 0.42 (0.24) | 3.20† | 1.53 | 0.70 (0.34) | 4.25* | 2.01 | 0.01 (0.23) | 0.003 | 1.01 |
| (0.96 –2.42) | (1.04 –3.90) | 0.64 –1.59) | |||||||
| Age | 0.54 (0.15) | 13.45*** | 1.72 | −0.01 (0.20) | 0.002 | 0.99 | −0.20 (0.14) | 1.96 | 0.82 |
| (1.29 –2.31) | (0.67 –1.46) | 0.61 –1.08) | |||||||
| Remote | 0.37 (0.40) | 0.82 | 1.44 | −1.42 (1.05) | 1.83 | 0.24 | −0.51 (0.48) | 1.11 | 0.60 |
| (0.65 – 3.19) | (0.03 – 1.89) | (0.24 – 1.55) | |||||||
| Single mother | 0.25 (0.25) | 1.00 | 1.28 | 0.07 (0.34) | 0.04 | 1.07 | 0.19 (0.24) | 0.59 | 1.20 |
| (0.79 – 2.07) | (0.56 –2.08) | (0.75 – 1.94) | |||||||
| Mother’s psychiatric disorders | |||||||||
| Substance use disorders | 0.44 (0.28) | 2.45 | 1.55 | 0.93 (0.44) | 4.36* | 2.53 | 0.67 (0.28) | 5.53* | 1.96 |
| (lifetime) | (0.90 – 2.67) | (1.06 – 6.04) | (1.12 – 3.42) | ||||||
| Internalizing disorders | 0.66 (0.27) | 5.81* | 1.93 | 0.12 (0.37) | 0.11 | 1.13 | 0.54 (0.26) | 4.22* | 1.71 |
| (lifetime) | (1.13 – 3.28) | (0.55 – 2.31) | (1.02 – 2.86) | ||||||
| Adolescent psychiatric disorders | |||||||||
| Substance use disorders | 2.16 (0.71) | 9.24** | 8.65 | −0.30 (0.87) | 0.12 | 0.74 | 1.10 (0.63) | 3.07† | 3.02 |
| (lifetime) | (2.15 – 34.77) | (0.14 – 4.03) | (0.88 – 10.38) | ||||||
| Internalizing disorders | 0.10 (0.46) | 0.05 | 1.10 | 1.45 (0.44) | 10.90** | 4.28 | 0.90 (0.40) | 5.13* | 2.45 |
| (12-month) | (0.45 – 2.69) | (1.81 – 10.15) | (1.13 – 5.32) | ||||||
| Externalizing disorders | 0.01 (0.30) | 0.001 | 1.01 | 0.35 (0.37) | 0.86 | 1.41 | 0.71 (0.26) | 7.07** | 2.03 |
| (lifetime/12-month)a | (0.56 – 1.80) | (0.68 – 2.94) | (1.20 – 3.41) | ||||||
| −2 Log Likelihood | 471.32 | 283.82 | 481.77 | ||||||
| Likelihood Ratio Chi-Square | 50.22*** | 28.26*** | 49.10*** | ||||||
| Nagelkerke’s Pseudo R-Square | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.14 | ||||||
a
Note. Lifetime (conduct disorder) + 12-month (attention defiant/hyperactivity disorder and oppositional defiant disorder)
b
Parameter estimate, S.E. = Standard Error, OR=Odds Ratio Estimates, 95% CL= 95% Wald Confidence Limits.
†
p <.10
*
p <.05
**
p <.01
***
p <.001