Table 7.

Performance for temporal models using pattern discovery.

		Brier score
SAPS II + SOFA	Given by	Day 1	Day 2	Day 3	Day 4	Day 5	Day 6	Day 7
Recalibrated SAPS II	Toma et al (2007) [8]	0.059	0.132	0.17	0.18	0.182
Recalibrated SAPS II	Toma et al (2008) [9]		0.175	0.168	0.198	0.199	0.215	0.23
Temporal SOFA model	Toma et al (2007) [8]	0.058	0.128	0.161	0.171	0.166
Temporal SOFA model	Toma et al (2008) [9]		0.168	0.17	0.195	0.183	0.206	0.211
Temporal wSOFA model	Toma et al (2008) [9]		0.166	0.175	0.199	0.19	0.21	0.224
Temporal IOF model	Toma et al (2008) [9]		0.161	0.166	0.187	0.175	0.195	0.216
		AUC
SAPS II + SOFA	Given by	Day 1	Day 2	Day 3	Day 4	Day 5	Day 6	Day 7
Recalibrated SAPS II	Toma et al (2008) [9]		0.761	0.746	0.692	0.66	0.643	0.645
Temporal SOFA model	Toma et al (2008) [9]		0.786	0.780	0.713	0.737	0.690	0.722
Temporal wSOFA model	Toma et al (2008) [9]		0.794	0.771	0.699	0.709	0.672	0.664
Temporal IOF model	Toma et al (2008) [9]		0.794	0.785	0.727	0.740	0.738	0.715

AUC = Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve, IOF = Individual Organ Failure, SAPS = Simplified Acute Physiology Score, SOFA = Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, wSOFA = weighted SOFA score.