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. 2007 Nov 28;86(2):101–110. doi: 10.2471/BLT.07.042259

Table 1. Sensitivity analysis: threshold level for parameters tested at which RDTs are preferable to presumptive treatment at 5% and 40% malaria prevalence among febrile outpatients.

Parameters tested Threshold level at which RDTs are preferable to presumptive treatment
50% certainty
95% certainty
5% malaria prevalence 40% malaria prevalence 5% malaria prevalence 40% malaria prevalence
Cost of RDT
(US$ 0–4) Any cost Any cost Any cost < US$ 2.30
Cost of an adult dose of ACT
(US$ 0–4) Any cost Any cost Any cost > US$ 0.20
Adherence to ACT
(0–100%) Any level Any level Any level Any level
Adherence to antibiotic
(0–100%) Any level > 4% > 25% > 39%
Probability that non-malarial febrile illness is bacterial
(0–100%) Any level > 4% > 20% > 23%
Probability that patient diagnosed negative for malaria receives antibiotica
(0–100%) Any level Any level Any level > 23%
Probability that a patient with bacterial infection became severe
(≥ 5 years: 10–25%)
(< 5 years: 20–40%) Any level Any level Any level Any level
Proportion of presenting population 5 years old or over
(0–100%) Any level Any level Any level Any level
Valuation of a DALY averted
(US$ 0–500) Any value Any value > US$ 48 > US$ 70

ACT, artemisinin-based combination therapy; DALY, disability-adjusted life year; RDT, rapid diagnostic test.
a When less than 100%, we assumed that antibiotics were randomly allocated to patients with non-malarial febrile illness.