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. 2007 Aug;61(8):704–712. doi: 10.1136/jech.2006.048074

Table 5 Independent predictors for fatal and non‐fatal ischaemic stroke (excluding transient ischaemic attack and haemorrhagic stroke) over a period of 30 years of follow‐up divided into different follow‐up periods.

Follow‐up period 0–30 (age period 50–80 years) 0–9.9 (age period 50–60 years) 10–19.9 (age period 60–70 years) 20–30 (age period 70–80 years)
Characteristics HR (95% CI) p Value HR (95% CI) p Value HR (95% CI) p Value HR (95% CI) P Value
SBP supine 1.37 (1.22 to 1.55) <0.001 1.59 (1.13 to 2.24) 0.008 1.53 (1.28 to 1.83) <0.001 1.26 (1.07 to 1.48) 0.006
BMI 1.15 (1.00 to 1.31) 0.04
ST segment depression 4.35 (2.57 to 7.39) <0.001 12.82 (3.73 to 43.5) <0.001
T wave abnormality 3.18 (1.71 to 5.92) <0.001
Atrial fibrillation 15.07 (1.77 to 128) 0.01
Diabetes mellitus 1.72 (1.02 to 2.48) 0.042 3.30 (1.01 to 10.8) 0.05
Smoking 1.44 (1.10 to 1.88) 0.008 5.68 (1.56 to 20.7) 0.008

BMI, body mass index; SBP, systolic blood pressure.

HRs with 95% CIs from Cox's proportional hazards regression were applied to variables standardised to 1 SD. Stepwise multiple regression analysis were performed for each decade of follow‐up and only variables retained in the models are presented (p<0.05).