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. 2009 Mar 5;338:b688. doi: 10.1136/bmj.b688

Table 3.

 Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals of total mortality for physical activity level in leisure time, smoking, and obesity status using time updated and baseline data

Exposure and category Time at risk (person years) No of deaths Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Model 1 Model 2 Model 3
Time updated model*
Physical activity:
 High 28 790 531 1.00† 1.00† 1.00†
 Medium 25 371 600 1.32 (1.18 to 1.49) 1.24 (1.10 to 1.39) 1.22 (1.08 to 1.37)
 Low 7306 198 1.75 (1.48 to 2.06) 1.41 (1.19 to 1.67) 1.40 (1.18 to 1.66)
Smoking status:
 Never 20 657 465 1.00† 1.00† 1.00†
 Former 19 420 373 1.18 (1.02 to 1.36) 1.15 (1.00 to 1.32) 1.10 (0.96 to 1.27)
 Current 21 389 491 2.09 (1.82 to 2.39) 1.98 (1.72 to 2.28) 1.90 (1.64 to 2.19)
Obesity status:
 Non-obese 56 620 1157 1.00† 1.00† 1.00†
 Obese 4847 172 1.52 (1.29 to 1.78) 1.49 (1.19 to 1.86) 1.51 (1.21 to 1.90)
Baseline model‡
Physical activity:
 High 30 930 617 1.00† 1.00† 1.00†
 Medium 21 850 504 1.20 (1.07 to 1.35) 1.16 (1.03 to 1.31) 1.14 (1.01 to 1.28)
 Low 8687 213 1.30 (1.12 to 1.52) 1.14 (0.98 to 1.34) 1.13 (0.96 to 1.33)
Smoking status:
 Never 16 626 266 1.00† 1.00† 1.00†
 Former 15 446 291 1.21 (1.03 to 1.43) 1.22 (1.03 to 1.44) 1.20 (1.01 to 1.41)
 Current 29 395 777 1.87 (1.63 to 2.16) 1.88 (1.63 to 2.17) 1.94 (1.67 to 2.24)
Obesity status:
 Non-obese 58 032 1220 1.00† 1.00† 1.00†
 Obese 3434 114 1.81 (1.50 to 1.20) 1.30 (1.01 to 1.68) 1.26 (0.97 to 1.62)

Model 1 includes one exposure only. Model 2 includes physical activity, smoking status, and obesity status; and as covariates height and weight (both continuous); self perceived health (not good, good); physical activity at work (sedentary, light, medium, high, unknown, unemployed); diabetes mellitus and any musculoskeletal, neurological, or psychiatric disorders (yes, no for each disorder); and alcohol use (abstainer, normal, suspected alcohol dependence). Model 3 as for model 2 but with addition of systolic and diastolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive drugs, total serum cholesterol concentrations, educational level, and socioeconomic group.

*Based on time updated data and mortality follow-up.

†Reference category.

‡Based on baseline data and mortality follow-up.