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. 2009 Feb 19;102(4):251–259. doi: 10.1093/qjmed/hcp006

Table 1.

Nomograms and prognostic formula for prediction of outcome with paraquat concentrations

References Location Patients Prognostic formula for survival Validated by authors Limitations in application

Proudfoot et al.5 UK: London, Edinburgh, Scotland 71 Patients with paraquat levels less than a line connecting concentrations of 2.0, 0.6, 0.3, 0.16 and 0.1 μg/ml at 4, 6, 10, 16 and 24 h survive. No Applicable only between 4 and 24 h.
Hart et al.7 UK 219 Graph plasma paraquat levels vs. time since ingestion. Generating contour map lines denoting equal probability of survival. No Applicable up to 28 h. Nomogram unable to assign risk to concentrations taken <4 h which are > 5.5 μg/ml.
Scherrmann et al.6 France 30 Survivors have plasma paraquat levels less than C μg/ml where C = 1/(0.471 × (h since ingestion) −1.302) No Curve is used to extend Proudfoot for use beyond 24 h. Applicable >4 h.
Sawada et al.8 Japan 30 SIPP = time to treatment (h) × serum PQ concentration (μg/ml) SIPP < 10 predicts survival SIPP 10–50 death from lung fibrosis, SIPP > 50 death from circulatory failure. No Applicable up to 200 h.
Jones et al.4 Review of worldwide literature 375 Probability of survival = exp(logit)/[1 + exp(logit)] Logit = 0.58−[2.33 × log10 (plasma paraquat μg/ml)] − [1.15 × log10 (h since ingestion)] No Applicable up to 200 h.