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. 2009 Apr 10;5(1):e1000356. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000356

Figure 4. Performance of the back-calculation method to predict the outbreak size with Reference scenario (R) and scenarios A to E.

Figure 4

Each box-plot represents the distribution (minimum, maximum, percentiles 2.5,25,50,75,97.5) of the predicted outbreak size relative bias based on the 5, 10 and 15 first cases on 40 simulated outbreaks per scenario.