Table 2. Description of Scenarios.

Scenario	Modified model/data	Misspecification type	Description
A	Symptoms onset dates of the simulated sample	Uncertainty on data	Onset dates precision = 0.5 days rather than 1 hour . For cases developing symptoms between 9AM and 9PM the registered time is 9 AM. For other cases the registered time is 9 PM.
B	Estimation	Parameter value of the within-host dynamics model	Median delay between germination and symptoms = 5 days rather than 2 days
C	Simulation	Within-host dynamics model	Incubation period for low doses given by [9] Instantaneous exposure
D	Simulation	Spore diffusion model	Spore concentration given by HPAC model [17] Instantaneous exposure
E	Simulation	Population movements	Occasional movements added to daily commuting data