Table 3.
BRCAPRO-Predicted Proportion of Deleterious BRCA1 or BRCA2 Mutations and Observed Proportion
| Variable | No. of Probands | Proportion Data |
Brier Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expected (%)* | Observed† |
||||
| % | 95% CI | ||||
| Ethnicity | |||||
| African American | 104 | 23.3 | 30.8 | 22.1–40.6 | 0.208‡ |
| Hispanic | 130 | 15.9 | 12.3 | 7.2–19.2 | 0.089 |
| Other | 58 | 18.6 | 17.2 | 8.6-29.4 | 0.139‡ |
| All probands | 292 | 19.1 | 19.9 | 15.4–24.9 | 0.141‡ |
| < 0.05 | 149 | 1.9 | 10.7 | 6.2–16.9 | |
| 0.05 to < 0.10 | 25 | 7.2 | 8.0 | 1.0–26.0 | |
| 0.10 to < 0.25 | 42 | 15.0 | 16.7 | 7.0–31.4 | |
| ≥ 0.25 | 76 | 65.5 | 43.4 | 32.1–55.3 | |
| Single breast cancer families | 120 | 7.1 | 11.7 | 6.5–18.8 | 0.124‡ |
| < 0.05 | 92 | 2.0 | 10.9 | 5.3–19.1 | |
| 0.05 to < 0.10 | 10 | 7.4 | 10.0 | 0.3–44.5 | |
| 0.10 to < 0.25 | 9 | 15.0 | 11.1 | 0.3–48.2 | |
| ≥ 0.25 | 9 | 51.0 | 22.2 | 2.8–60.0 | |
| Other families | 172 | 27.4 | 25.6 | 19.2–32.8 | 0.153‡ |
| < 0.05 | 57 | 1.8 | 10.5 | 4.0–21.5 | |
| 0.05 to < 0.10 | 15 | 7.0 | 6.7 | 0.2–31.9 | |
| 0.10 to < 0.25 | 33 | 15.0 | 18.2 | 7.0–35.5 | |
| ≥ 0.25 | 57 | 59.9 | 46.3 | 34.0–58.9 | |
NOTE. BRCAPRO is a BRCA carrier prediction model.
Calculated as BRCAPRO-predicted probability multiplied by 0.85.
95% confidence interval is for the true proportion.
P < .01