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. 2009 Feb 2;27(8):1184–1190. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2008.17.5869

Table 3.

BRCAPRO-Predicted Proportion of Deleterious BRCA1 or BRCA2 Mutations and Observed Proportion

Variable No. of Probands Proportion Data
Brier Score
Expected (%)* Observed
% 95% CI
Ethnicity
    African American 104 23.3 30.8 22.1–40.6 0.208
    Hispanic 130 15.9 12.3 7.2–19.2 0.089
    Other 58 18.6 17.2 8.6-29.4 0.139
    All probands 292 19.1 19.9 15.4–24.9 0.141
    < 0.05 149 1.9 10.7 6.2–16.9
    0.05 to < 0.10 25 7.2 8.0 1.0–26.0
    0.10 to < 0.25 42 15.0 16.7 7.0–31.4
    ≥ 0.25 76 65.5 43.4 32.1–55.3
Single breast cancer families 120 7.1 11.7 6.5–18.8 0.124
    < 0.05 92 2.0 10.9 5.3–19.1
    0.05 to < 0.10 10 7.4 10.0 0.3–44.5
    0.10 to < 0.25 9 15.0 11.1 0.3–48.2
    ≥ 0.25 9 51.0 22.2 2.8–60.0
Other families 172 27.4 25.6 19.2–32.8 0.153
    < 0.05 57 1.8 10.5 4.0–21.5
    0.05 to < 0.10 15 7.0 6.7 0.2–31.9
    0.10 to < 0.25 33 15.0 18.2 7.0–35.5
    ≥ 0.25 57 59.9 46.3 34.0–58.9

NOTE. BRCAPRO is a BRCA carrier prediction model.

*

Calculated as BRCAPRO-predicted probability multiplied by 0.85.

95% confidence interval is for the true proportion.

P < .01