TABLE 2.
Use of CT values to predict death from RVF in Kenya, 2006 to 2007a
| CT cut point | Fatal cases (no.) | Nonfatal cases (no.) | Case fatality (%) | PPV (%)b | NPV (%)c | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | Correct (%) | Treated (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18 | 36 | 33.3 | ||||||
| <19 | 5 | 2 | 71.4 | 71.4 | 75.6 | 31.3 | 94.4 | 75.0 | 13.5 |
| ≥19 | 11 | 34 | 24.4 | ||||||
| <20 | 8 | 8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 77.8 | 50.0 | 77.8 | 69.2 | 30.8 |
| ≥20 | 8 | 28 | 22.2 | ||||||
| <21 | 10 | 9 | 52.6 | 52.6 | 81.8 | 62.5 | 75.0 | 71.2 | 36.5 |
| ≥21 | 6 | 27 | 18.2 | ||||||
| <23 | 11 | 10 | 52.4 | 52.4 | 83.9 | 68.8 | 72.2 | 71.2 | 40.4 |
| ≥23 | 5 | 26 | 16.1 | ||||||
| <24 | 13 | 12 | 52.0 | 52.0 | 88.9 | 81.3 | 66.7 | 71.2 | 48.1 |
| ≥24 | 3 | 24 | 11.1 | ||||||
| <25 | 13 | 14 | 48.1 | 48.1 | 88.0 | 81.3 | 61.1 | 67.3 | 51.9 |
| ≥25 | 3 | 22 | 12.0 | ||||||
| <26 | 14 | 15 | 48.3 | 48.3 | 91.3 | 87.5 | 58.3 | 67.3 | 55.8 |
| ≥26 | 2 | 21 | 8.7 | ||||||
| <27 | 15 | 15 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 95.5 | 93.8 | 58.3 | 69.2 | 57.7 |
| ≥27 | 1 | 21 | 4.5 | ||||||
| <31 | 16 | 22 | 42.1 | 42.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 38.9 | 57.7 | 73.1 |
| ≥31 | 0 | 14 | 0.0 |
Boldface type indicates predictor values at the cutoff CT of 27.0
PPV, positive predictive value.
NPV, negative predictive value.