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. 2009 Jan 26;47(4):1166–1171. doi: 10.1128/JCM.01905-08

TABLE 2.

Use of CT values to predict death from RVF in Kenya, 2006 to 2007a

CT cut point Fatal cases (no.) Nonfatal cases (no.) Case fatality (%) PPV (%)b NPV (%)c Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) Correct (%) Treated (%)
Overall 18 36 33.3
<19 5 2 71.4 71.4 75.6 31.3 94.4 75.0 13.5
≥19 11 34 24.4
<20 8 8 50.0 50.0 77.8 50.0 77.8 69.2 30.8
≥20 8 28 22.2
<21 10 9 52.6 52.6 81.8 62.5 75.0 71.2 36.5
≥21 6 27 18.2
<23 11 10 52.4 52.4 83.9 68.8 72.2 71.2 40.4
≥23 5 26 16.1
<24 13 12 52.0 52.0 88.9 81.3 66.7 71.2 48.1
≥24 3 24 11.1
<25 13 14 48.1 48.1 88.0 81.3 61.1 67.3 51.9
≥25 3 22 12.0
<26 14 15 48.3 48.3 91.3 87.5 58.3 67.3 55.8
≥26 2 21 8.7
<27 15 15 50.0 50.0 95.5 93.8 58.3 69.2 57.7
≥27 1 21 4.5
<31 16 22 42.1 42.1 100.0 100.0 38.9 57.7 73.1
≥31 0 14 0.0
a

Boldface type indicates predictor values at the cutoff CT of 27.0

b

PPV, positive predictive value.

c

NPV, negative predictive value.