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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Med. 2009 May;122(5):464–471. doi: 10.1016/j.amjmed.2008.10.034

Table 4.

Reclassification of Predicted 8-Year Hypertension Risk Categories Comparing the Simplified Model to the Blood Pressure Only Model in the Validation Cohort (N = 5,395)

Simplified Model - Categories of Predicted 8-Year Risk % Reclassified Correctly/% Reclassified
Blood Pressure Only Model- Categories of Predicted 8- Year Risk <10% 10% to <20% 20% to <30% ≥30%
<10% N 940 249 8 21.5/21.5
% Reclassified - 20.8% 0.7% -
Event Rate 5.9% 12.9% 37.5%

10% to <20% N 139 1397 230 18 21.7/21.7
% Reclassified 7.8% - 12.9% 1%
Event Rate 8.6% 14.0% 21.7% 38.9%

20% to <30% N 401 643 248 50.2/50.2
% Reclassified - 31% - 19.2%
Event Rate 16.7% 25.3% 35.5%

≥30% N 1 205 916 18.3/18.4
% Reclassified - 0.1% 18.3% -
Event Rate 100% 24.9% 37.6%