Table 2.
5-Year Survival Benefit | Probability of Survival Benefit (%) |
Updated Probability of Survival Benefit (%) |
||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Before IALT |
After IALT |
After IALT and JBR.10 |
After IALT, JBR.10, and ANITA |
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Base Case | Expert | Uninformed | Base Case | Expert | Uninformed | Base Case | Expert | Uninformed | Base Case | Expert | Uninformed | |
Any benefit | 48 | 43 | 35 | 86 | 85 | 61 | 89 | 89 | 88 | 89 | 89 | 88 |
Survival decrement | 1.5 | 6.7 | 15.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
≥ 2% benefit | 44 | 34 | 33 | 84 | 78 | 57 | 88 | 86 | 85 | 89 | 88 | 87 |
≥ 4% benefit | 33 | 21 | 30 | 64 | 52 | 43 | 75 | 66 | 73 | 82 | 77 | 81 |
≥ 6% benefit | 18 | 10 | 28 | 24 | 16 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 42 | 43 | 35 | 51 |
NOTE. The probability of each survival benefit level before the results of IALT (base case and sensitivity analysis), the updated probability of survival benefit after IALT, after sequentially updating with JBR.10, and after sequentially updating with ANITA is shown.
Abbreviations: NSCLC, non–small-cell lung cancer; IALT, International Adjuvant Lung Trial; ANITA, Adjuvant Navelbine International Trialist Association.