Table 3.
Pretreatment systolic blood pressure (mm Hg) | Estimated reduction in systolic blood pressure (mm Hg)* | Relative risk of CHD events by age (years) | Relative risk of stroke by age (years) | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
40-49 | 50-59 | 60-69 | 70-79 | 80-89 | 40-49 | 50-59 | 60-69 | 70-79 | 80-89 | |||
One drug half standard dose: | ||||||||||||
180 | 9.0 | 0.72 | 0.73 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 0.83 | 0.63 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.73 | 0.83 | |
170 | 8.3 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.78 | 0.81 | 0.85 | 0.66 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.75 | 0.85 | |
160 | 7.5 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.79 | 0.83 | 0.86 | 0.68 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.77 | 0.86 | |
150 | 6.7 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.71 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.79 | 0.87 | |
140 | 5.9 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.78 | 0.81 | 0.89 | |
130 | 5.1 | 0.83 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 0.90 | 0.77 | 0.78 | 0.81 | 0.84 | 0.90 | |
120 | 4.4 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.92 | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.86 | 0.92 | |
One drug standard dose: | ||||||||||||
180 | 11.7 | 0.66 | 0.67 | 0.70 | 0.74 | 0.79 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.67 | 0.79 | |
170 | 10.7 | 0.68 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 0.58 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 0.69 | 0.81 | |
160 | 9.7 | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 0.82 | 0.61 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.82 | |
150 | 8.7 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.76 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 0.69 | 0.74 | 0.84 | |
140 | 7.7 | 0.76 | 0.77 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 0.86 | 0.67 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.77 | 0.86 | |
130 | 6.7 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.71 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.79 | 0.87 | |
120 | 5.7 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.84 | 0.86 | 0.89 | 0.75 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 0.89 | |
Two drugs half standard dose: | ||||||||||||
180 | 18.0 | 0.53 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 0.70 | |
170 | 16.4 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 0.72 | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.72 | |
160 | 14.5 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.74 | |
150 | 13.3 | 0.62 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.77 | 0.51 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.77 | |
140 | 11.7 | 0.66 | 0.67 | 0.70 | 0.74 | 0.79 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.67 | 0.79 | |
130 | 10.2 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.77 | 0.82 | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.65 | 0.70 | 0.82 | |
120 | 8.6 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.77 | 0.80 | 0.84 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.74 | 0.84 | |
Two drugs standard dose: | ||||||||||||
180 | 22.2 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.46 | 0.64 | |
170 | 20.3 | 0.48 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.59 | 0.67 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.67 | |
160 | 18.4 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 0.46 | 0.53 | 0.69 | |
150 | 16.5 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 0.72 | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.72 | |
140 | 14.6 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 0.69 | 0.75 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.60 | 0.75 | |
130 | 12.7 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.72 | 0.77 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.77 | |
120 | 10.8 | 0.68 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.63 | 0.69 | 0.81 | |
Three drugs half standard dose: | ||||||||||||
180 | 26.9 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.50 | 0.58 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 0.58 | |
170 | 24.6 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.61 | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.35 | 0.43 | 0.61 | |
160 | 22.2 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.46 | 0.64 | |
150 | 19.9 | 0.49 | 0.50 | 0.54 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.67 | |
140 | 17.6 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 0.55 | 0.61 | 0.68 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.54 | 0.68 | |
130 | 15.2 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 0.46 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 0.59 | 0.74 | |
120 | 12.9 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.72 | 0.77 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.77 | |
Three drugs standard dose: | ||||||||||||
180 | 31.7 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.53 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.53 | |
170 | 29.0 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.56 | |
160 | 26.3 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.51 | 0.59 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.33 | 0.40 | 0.59 | |
150 | 23.6 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.48 | 0.55 | 0.62 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.44 | 0.62 | |
140 | 20.9 | 0.48 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.59 | 0.66 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.49 | 0.66 | |
130 | 18.2 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.46 | 0.53 | 0.70 | |
120 | 15.5 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.67 | 0.73 | 0.45 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 0.73 |
This table is a numerical expansion of figure 7 (systolic blood pressure). Estimates calculated using a two stage procedure in which the effect of drug treatment in reducing systolic blood pressure was first estimated,32 then the effect of this blood pressure reduction on disease risk.25
*See Methods (section headed “Predicting the trial results.”)