TABLE 5.
Hazard ratios for total CVD events per 1-minute increment in maximal exercise duration according to CVD risk factor categories in men, Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study, Dallas, Texas, 1971-2004
Risk Factor | N | Events | HR‡ | 95% CI‡ | p value | HR§ | 95% CI§ | p value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age, years | ||||||||
<55 | 17,532 | 1,025 | 0.94 | 0.92, 0.95 | <0.001 | 0.95 | 0.94, 0.97 | <0.001 |
≥55 | 3,196 | 487 | 0.96 | 0.94, 0.98 | <0.001 | 0.98 | 0.96, 1.00 | 0.11 |
Current smoker | ||||||||
No | 16,922 | 1,218 | 0.95 | 0.94, 0.96 | <0.001 | 0.97 | 0.96, 0.99 | <0.001 |
Yes | 3,806 | 294 | 0.93 | 0.90, 0.96 | <0.001 | 0.94 | 0.91, 0.96 | <0.001 |
Family history of CVD | ||||||||
No | 17,411 | 1,233 | 0.95 | 0.94, 0.96 | <0.001 | 0.97 | 0.96, 0.99 | <0.001 |
Yes | 3,317 | 279 | 0.91 | 0.88, 0.94 | <0.001 | 0.93 | 0.90, 0.95 | <0.001 |
Exercise ECG responses | ||||||||
Normal | 19,667 | 1,292 | 0.95 | 0.94, 0.96 | <0.001 | 0.96 | 0.95, 0.98 | <0.001 |
Abnormal | 1,061 | 220 | 0.96 | 0.93, 0.99 | 0.007 | 0.97 | 0.94, 1.01 | 0.12 |
Body mass index, kg/m2 | ||||||||
18.5-24.9 | 8,701 | 573 | 0.94 | 0.92, 0.96 | <0.001 | 0.96 | 0.94, 0.98 | <0.001 |
≥25 | 12,027 | 939 | 0.95 | 0.94, 0.97 | <0.001 | 0.97 | 0.96, 0.99 | 0.001 |
Hypertension | ||||||||
No | 14,143 | 832 | 0.95 | 0.93, 0.96 | <0.001 | 0.96 | 0.95, 0.98 | <0.001 |
Yes | 6,585 | 680 | 0.95 | 0.94, 0.97 | <0.001 | 0.97 | 0.95, 0.99 | <0.001 |
Diabetes | ||||||||
No | 19,653 | 1,373 | 0.95 | 0.93, 0.96 | <0.001 | 0.97 | 0.95, 0.98 | <0.001 |
Yes | 1,075 | 139 | 0.96 | 0.93, 1.00 | 0.048 | 0.98 | 0.93, 1.02 | 0.27 |
Total cholesterol | ||||||||
<6.20 mmol/L (240 mg/dl) | 16,668 | 997 | 0.94 | 0.93, 0.95 | <0.001 | 0.96 | 0.94, 0.97 | <0.001 |
≥6.20 mmol/L (240 mg/dl) | 4,060 | 515 | 0.97 | 0.95, 0.99 | 0.003 | 0.98 | 0.96, 1.00 | 0.08 |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; CVD, cardiovascular disease; ECG, electrocardiogram.
The point and interval estimates are the risk of CVD events that are associated, on average, with each 1-minute increment in treadmill exercise duration.
Adjusted for age and examination year.
Adjusted for the above plus each of the other risk factors in the table.