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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2009 May 21.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Epidemiol. 2007 Apr 3;165(12):1413–1423. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwm031

TABLE 5.

Hazard ratios for total CVD events per 1-minute increment in maximal exercise duration according to CVD risk factor categories in men, Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study, Dallas, Texas, 1971-2004

Risk Factor N Events HR 95% CI p value HR§ 95% CI§ p value
Age, years
<55 17,532 1,025 0.94 0.92, 0.95 <0.001 0.95 0.94, 0.97 <0.001
≥55 3,196 487 0.96 0.94, 0.98 <0.001 0.98 0.96, 1.00 0.11
Current smoker
No 16,922 1,218 0.95 0.94, 0.96 <0.001 0.97 0.96, 0.99 <0.001
Yes 3,806 294 0.93 0.90, 0.96 <0.001 0.94 0.91, 0.96 <0.001
Family history of CVD
No 17,411 1,233 0.95 0.94, 0.96 <0.001 0.97 0.96, 0.99 <0.001
Yes 3,317 279 0.91 0.88, 0.94 <0.001 0.93 0.90, 0.95 <0.001
Exercise ECG responses
Normal 19,667 1,292 0.95 0.94, 0.96 <0.001 0.96 0.95, 0.98 <0.001
Abnormal 1,061 220 0.96 0.93, 0.99 0.007 0.97 0.94, 1.01 0.12
Body mass index, kg/m2
18.5-24.9 8,701 573 0.94 0.92, 0.96 <0.001 0.96 0.94, 0.98 <0.001
≥25 12,027 939 0.95 0.94, 0.97 <0.001 0.97 0.96, 0.99 0.001
Hypertension
No 14,143 832 0.95 0.93, 0.96 <0.001 0.96 0.95, 0.98 <0.001
Yes 6,585 680 0.95 0.94, 0.97 <0.001 0.97 0.95, 0.99 <0.001
Diabetes
No 19,653 1,373 0.95 0.93, 0.96 <0.001 0.97 0.95, 0.98 <0.001
Yes 1,075 139 0.96 0.93, 1.00 0.048 0.98 0.93, 1.02 0.27
Total cholesterol
<6.20 mmol/L (240 mg/dl) 16,668 997 0.94 0.93, 0.95 <0.001 0.96 0.94, 0.97 <0.001
≥6.20 mmol/L (240 mg/dl) 4,060 515 0.97 0.95, 0.99 0.003 0.98 0.96, 1.00 0.08

HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; CVD, cardiovascular disease; ECG, electrocardiogram.

The point and interval estimates are the risk of CVD events that are associated, on average, with each 1-minute increment in treadmill exercise duration.

Adjusted for age and examination year.

§

Adjusted for the above plus each of the other risk factors in the table.