Figure 1.

Evolution of the Global Burden of Disease, 2002 to 2030

Notes: Infectious disease classification is based on WHO's type 1 burden of disease cluster. Chronic disease classification is based on cardiovascular disease, cancers, respiratory disease, and diabetes mellitus subcategories of WHO's type 2 burden of disease cluster. Appendix 1 further describes the data sources, disease classifications, and calculations.

Source: Author's calculations based on Mathers and Loncar 2006 and WHO's Global Burden of Disease projections.