Table 2.
Split calculation for the annealing model-switch integration.
δβ | Integration interval | Q.E. | σd | σs | total error |
0.0001 | 0.00–0.01 | -71.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 |
0.0001 | 0.01–0.02 | -16.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
0.0002 | 0.02–0.04 | -8.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
0.0002 | 0.04–0.06 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
0.0002 | 0.06–0.08 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
0.0002 | 0.08–0.10 | 7.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
0.001 | 0.10–0.20 | 57.3 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
0.001 | 0.20–0.30 | 68.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
0.001 | 0.30–0.40 | 74.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
0.001 | 0.40–0.50 | 77.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
0.001 | 0.50–0.60 | 80.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
0.001 | 0.60–0.70 | 82.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
0.001 | 0.70–0.80 | 83.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
0.001 | 0.80–0.90 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
0.0002 | 0.90–0.92 | 17.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
0.0002 | 0.92–0.94 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
0.0002 | 0.94–0.96 | 18.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
0.0002 | 0.96–0.98 | 19.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
0.0001 | 0.98–0.99 | 10.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
0.0001 | 0.99–1.00 | 18.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
Total | 0.00–1.00 | 630.7 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 7.5 |
Composite Run log Bayes Factor: 630.7 | |||||
Composite Run Confidence Interval: [623.2; 638.2] |
Using a constant number of Q = 200 iterations per β, the contribution of each integration interval to the Bayes Factor value was calculated on a separate processor. This leads to an improved approximation of the contribution for the intervals [0.0; 0.1] and [0.9; 1.0] and also decreases the width of the confidence interval from 42.6 to 15.0 The increment δβ was allowed to change and Q = 200 iterations were performed for each value of β. Q.E. is the quasistatic estimator for each integration interval with discrete and sampling error denoted by σd and σs, respectively.