Table 4.

Posterior Means and 95% Credible Intervals (in parentheses) of the Transitional Probabilities Under the MCC model.

Superclass	j	P(Ci,j = c|Ci,j—1 = c, Ui)	P(Ci,j = c|Ci,j—1 = n, Ui)
Increasing	2	0.57(0.34,0.77)	0.01(0.00,0.06)
Noncomplier	3	0.45(0.00,0.77)	0.01(0.00,0.03)
	4	0.27(0.00,1.00)	0.06(0.02,0.12)
	5	0.10(0.00,0.51)	0.02(0.00,0.05)
Erratic	2	0.67(0.00,1.00)	0.56(0.00,1.00)
Complier	3	0.31(0.00,1.00)	0.48(0.00,1.00)
	4	0.64(0.00,1.00)	0.78(0.00,1.00)
	5	0.68(0.00,1.00)	0.54(0.00,1.00)
High	2	1.00(0.99,1.00)	0.15(0.00,1.00)
Complier	3	1.00(1.00,1.00)	0.44(0.00,1.00)
	4	0.97(0.84,1.00)	0.54(0.00,1.00)
	5	0.91(0.76,1.00)	0.46(0.00,1.00)