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. 2009 Jun 19;106(26):10582–10586. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0806059106

Table 1.

Dry-season changes for ecosystems in protected areas

Ecosystems Area, km2
Calculated for drier areas only
Dry-season precipitation, mm/day
Dry-season length,* days
Drier Wetter Base line Development scenario % Duration base line Change %
Dense moist forest 611,243 392,317 2.85 2.51 88 154.77 1.62 1.59
Open moist forest 207,883 281,800 2.32 2.06 89 170.18 4.52 3.34
Forested campinarana (tropical heath forest) 41,868 22,562 3.12 2.76 88 159.55 −9.43 −5.59
Wooded campinarana (tropical heath woodland) 9,689 2,625 3.13 2.70 86 167.74 −9.85 −5.62
Campinarana (heath shrubland) 4,128 2,440 3.57 2.95 82 161.69 1.24 1.31
Wooded (shrub) savanna 31,510 29,785 1.59 1.47 92 181.71 −4.42 −0.02
Savanna parkland 31,144 10,820 1.43 1.32 92 181.53 −0.88 0.00
Semideciduous forest 27,110 22,039 1.10 1.02 92 192.46 −4.12 −0.02
Forested savanna 8,633 20,509 1.41 1.32 94 175.92 3.33 0.02
Deciduous forest 4,004 8,212 3.39 3.13 92 209.15 −5.42 −0.03
Grassland savanna 3,732 1,718 1.04 0.92 88 181.40 −10.13 −0.06
Fluvial shrub pioneers (wetlands) 8,991 1,648 1.37 1.24 91 190.00 1.18 0.72
Fluvial herbaceous pioneers (wetlands) 5,883 10,448 1.00 0.81 81 145.99 7.91 6.41
Totals 995,818 796,475

Development scenario precipitation was calculated with base scenario dry season, to preserve comparability. Development scenario dry-season length was used in calculation of dry-season change. Savanna systems included here are south of the Rio Negro and main stem of the Amazon River, east of Manaus.

*Each of the three entries under Dry-season length is an average calculated over all pixels in that part of the ecosystem that grew drier.