Table 2.

Comparison of model output with available data

	Existing data	Model output
Mean duration from the first TB symptoms to treatment (weeks)	10.3a	9.3
Proportion (%) of all TB-cases detected as smear positive through DOTS services	39 – 52b	48.0
Proportion (%) of TB patients in the DOTS services eventually cured	81.0c	72.3
Proportion (%) of all TB cases that eventually die	22 – 29d	16.6

Model output and data concern symptomatic pulmonary TB cases; both smear positive and part of smear negatives, with symptoms serious enough to potentially prompt them to seek health care.

^a based on an Indonesian TB prevalence survey in 2004 [7].

^b based on smear positive cases detected in Jogjakarta province TB program, assuming that all smear positive and between 10%–40% smear negative TB cases are symptomatic.

^c the reported cure rate from Jogjakarta provincial TB program in 2005 [9].

^d based on the WHO estimated death rate for Indonesia as a whole, after correction for 20% extra-pulmonary TB and a 40% lower death rate in Jogjakarta Province [1].