Table 1.

Regional reference emissions, population, emission allocation, and number of people affected for 2030 under a global target at 30 GtCO₂, with (P) and without the poverty provision

Region	Emis.[1990],GtCO2	Emis.[2003],GtCO2	Pop.[2003],millions	Emis.(BAU)[2030],GtCO2	Pop.(BAU)[2030],millions	Emis.(30)[2030],GtCO2	Pop.under cap(30)[2030],millions	Emis.(30P)[2030],GtCO2	Pop.under cap(30P)[2030],millions	(30P)change w.r.t[1990],%	(30P)change w.r.t[2003],%	(30P)change w.r.t(BAU),%
U.S.	5.0	5.8	291	8.0	365	3.6	267	3.2	285	−35	−45	−60
Canada	0.5	0.6	32	0.7	39	0.4	29	0.3	31	−27	−40	−53
Mexico	0.3	0.4	101	0.7	129	0.6	14	0.5	16	81	43	−21
OECD Europe	4.1	4.3	529	4.7	561	3.8	139	3.6	175	−11	−16	−23
Japan	1.0	1.2	128	1.3	123	1.1	43	1.0	57	1	−18	−22
South Korea	0.2	0.5	48	0.7	50	0.5	30	0.4	34	81	−9	−37
Australia and New Zealand	0.3	0.4	24	0.6	30	0.3	21	0.3	22	−11	−37	−55
OECD minus U.S.	6.4	7.4	861	8.7	931	6.6	276	6.2	336	−3	−16	−28
Total OECD	11.4	13.3	1152	16.7	1296	10.2	543	9.5	620	−17	−29	−43
China	2.2	4.0	1296	11.4	1442	8.5	300	8.2	354	264	106	−29
Russia	2.3	1.6	145	2.2	125	1.2	77	1.1	85	−54	−33	−51
Transition Economies	1.9	1.1	195	1.6	190	1.3	49	1.2	60	−34	12	−26
India	0.6	1.1	1065	2.2	1442	2.2	1	2.3	2	304	121	7
Other Non-OECD Asia	0.8	1.4	927	2.8	1308	2.2	47	2.5	52	213	85	−9
Middle East	0.7	1.2	175	2.3	282	1.4	56	1.4	64	97	13	−41
Africa	0.6	1.0	854	1.8	1438	1.4	23	2.2	27	244	128	24
Brazil	0.2	0.3	181	0.6	237	0.6	10	0.6	13	161	80	−4
Other South and Central America	0.5	0.6	257	1.2	349	1.0	22	1.0	27	126	59	−16
Non-OECD minus China	7.6	8.3	3798	14.8	5370	11.3	284	12.4	330	63	50	−16
Total Non-OECD	9.8	12.2	5094	26.2	6812	19.8	583	20.5	684	109	68	−22
Total World	21.2	25.5	6245	42.9	8108	30.0	1126	30.0	1304	41	18	−30

Data from the 4 italicized lines are plotted in Figs. 4 and 5.