Participant | Delay (gains) |
Probability
(gains) |
Probability
(losses) |
||||||
R2 | RMSE | AUC | R2 | RMSE | AUC | R2 | RMSE | AUC | |
1 | .981 | .523 | .526 | .939 | .607 | .480 | .000a | 2.082 | –b |
2 | .988 | .303 | .636 | .949 | .596 | .330 | .942 | .722 | .333 |
3 | .968 | .391 | .148 | .939 | .853 | .168 | .980 | .571 | .220 |
4 | .793 | 1.076 | .677 | .625 | 1.442 | .522 | .776 | 1.944 | .285 |
5 | .810 | 1.866 | .616 | .974 | .635 | .215 | .892 | 1.037 | .390 |
6 | .980 | .590 | .433 | .893 | 1.282 | .174 | .915 | .764 | .468 |
7 | .596 | .585 | .823 | .971 | .597 | .205 | .956 | .699 | .339 |
8 | .919 | .783 | .627 | .989 | .393 | .128 | .926 | 1.043 | .246 |
9 | .959 | .755 | .564 | .957 | .344 | .182 | .902 | .538 | .557 |
10 | .948 | .783 | .485 | .995 | .194 | .366 | .980 | .444 | .335 |
11 | .923 | .897 | .535 | .876 | .560 | .558 | .941 | .718 | .171 |
12 | .865 | 1.409 | .146 | .961 | .669 | .226 | .961 | .677 | .234 |
13 | .920 | 1.188 | .418 | .946 | .503 | .393 | .914 | 1.060 | .244 |
14 | .641 | 1.000 | .719 | .908 | 1.053 | .174 | .934 | .902 | .379 |
15 | .954 | .567 | .611 | .947 | .700 | .227 | .956 | .647 | .205 |
16 | .846 | 1.209 | .445 | .892 | 1.370 | .586 | .955 | .806 | .369 |
17 | .967 | .834 | .260 | .925 | .932 | .122 | .984 | .473 | .354 |
18 | .761 | 1.222 | .092 | .553 | 1.318 | .352 | .557 | 2.460 | .500 |
19 | .872 | 1.155 | .457 | .952 | .666 | .396 | .898 | 1.304 | .301 |
20 | .682 | .604 | .781 | .978 | .591 | .207 | .864 | 1.348 | .212 |
21 | .585 | .439 | .829 | .990 | .278 | .314 | .846 | .814 | .409 |
22 | .977 | .576 | .285 | .858 | 1.075 | .208 | .958 | .436 | .547 |
23 | .945 | .420 | .778 | .942 | 1.053 | .145 | .972 | .640 | .184 |
24 | .648 | 1.945 | .794 | .450 | 2.922 | .361 | .987 | .425 | .368 |
25 | .358 | .074 | .983 | .966 | .785 | .183 | .849 | 1.296 | .315 |
26 | .000a | .066 | –b | .839 | 1.178 | .514 | .903 | 1.361 | .057 |
27 | .949 | .494 | .707 | .958 | .731 | .507 | .979 | .620 | .060 |
28 | .987 | .583 | .109 | .965 | .836 | .089 | .982 | .568 | .121 |
29 | .927 | .582 | .697 | .937 | .816 | .351 | .963 | .776 | .164 |
30 | .847 | 1.025 | .562 | .928 | 1.081 | .302 | .913 | 1.347 | .104 |
31 | .890 | .309 | .875 | .859 | 1.194 | .585 | .936 | .876 | .081 |
32 | .872 | .953 | .561 | .967 | .801 | .206 | .930 | 1.198 | .145 |
33 | .000a | .074 | –b | .797 | .910 | .527 | .932 | 1.000 | .121 |
34 | .936 | .260 | .777 | .970 | .523 | .178 | .831 | 1.253 | .293 |
35 | .646 | 1.279 | .578 | .689 | .888 | .510 | .727 | 1.795 | .116 |
36 | .039 | .893 | .942 | .989 | .306 | .327 | .836 | .650 | .539 |
37 | .546 | 1.325 | .149 | .751 | 1.457 | .417 | .921 | 1.134 | .310 |
38 | .896 | 1.044 | .178 | .682 | .750 | .136 | .923 | .917 | .360 |
39 | .806 | .411 | .867 | .946 | .645 | .156 | .876 | .656 | .549 |
40 | .893 | 1.042 | .678 | .820 | 1.038 | .080 | .927 | .913 | .426 |
41 | .943 | .824 | .579 | .856 | 1.185 | .559 | .970 | .647 | .194 |
42 | .969 | .579 | .100 | .969 | .636 | .118 | .926 | 1.016 | .272 |
43 | .834 | 1.139 | .370 | .973 | .424 | .199 | .910 | 1.080 | .166 |
44 | .971 | .187 | .884 | .945 | .840 | .311 | .966 | .595 | .196 |
45 | .950 | .829 | .507 | .939 | .843 | .098 | .997 | .171 | .500 |
46 | .801 | 1.713 | .477 | .837 | 1.318 | .298 | .957 | .875 | .162 |
47 | .091 | .478 | .932 | .000a | 2.194 | –b | .634 | 1.256 | .475 |
48 | .446 | .073 | .981 | .974 | .568 | .419 | .975 | .679 | .489 |
49 | .979 | .697 | .329 | .996 | .215 | .400 | .931 | .941 | .152 |
50 | .939 | .341 | .731 | .976 | .488 | .319 | .973 | .607 | .247 |
51 | .318 | 2.050 | .211 | .865 | 1.084 | .332 | .287 | 3.488 | .369 |
52 | .926 | .438 | .766 | .852 | .868 | .382 | .931 | .417 | .633 |
53 | .917 | 1.553 | .259 | .872 | 1.907 | .162 | .919 | 1.553 | .044 |
54 | .420 | 2.833 | .461 | .852 | .697 | .179 | .898 | 1.164 | .233 |
55 | .789 | 1.651 | .639 | .862 | .979 | .173 | .954 | .821 | .473 |
56 | .887 | 1.303 | .606 | .960 | .665 | .276 | .954 | .834 | .363 |
57 | .892 | .344 | .586 | .970 | .463 | .397 | .454 | 2.466 | .289 |
58 | .863 | 1.283 | .301 | .701 | 2.083 | .228 | .752 | 1.797 | .125 |
59 | .928 | .326 | .821 | .995 | .271 | .221 | .994 | .325 | .118 |
60 | .872 | 1.536 | .537 | .882 | .819 | .345 | .912 | .802 | .522 |
R2 of .000 indicates that the mean accounted for as much of the variance as the best-fitting hyperboloid function.
The value of AUC is omitted because the poor fit made the measure meaningless (see above).