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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2009 Jul 22.
Published in final edited form as: Technometrics. 2005 May 1;47(2):174–181. doi: 10.1198/004017005000000094

Table 7.

Number of Years, n*, for 90% Probability of Detecting a Prescribed Trend, δ Using a Two-Sided 5% Test Given 30 Years of Prior Data and Assuming AR(1) Errors With Estimated Parameter φ̂1

Tateno Hohen Wakkan Bulawayo Abidajan
φ̂1 .32 .05 .14 .43 .65
ω .003 .003 .2 .2 .2
δ .00758 .00543 .01042 .01282 .01111
N* 11.6 12.1 8.0 8.6 12.0
n*Tiao 14 14 10 10 13

NOTE: The last line of the table shows the comparable values given by Tiao et al. (1990, table 2).