Table 2. Percent of future predicted California bird communities with no modern analogs1.
Number of groups | ||||
Climate model/Distribution model algorithm | 100 | 60 | 20 | 5 |
Current/Maxent (baseline) | 7.11% | 4.69% | 0.941% | 0% |
Current/GAM (baseline) | 8.33% | 2.27% | 0.863% | 0.0628% |
GFDL CM2.1/Maxent | 56.6% | 50.0% | 25.1% | 1.49% |
GFDL CM2.1/GAM | 41.2% | 23.1% | 13.6% | 3.26% |
NCAR CCSM3.0/Maxent | 46.7% | 40.3% | 20.7% | 2.81% |
NCAR CCSM3.0/GAM | 37.2% | 18.3% | 9.57% | 3.48% |
Values are expressed as the percent of total land area, standardized with respect to grid cell resolution, in that any grid cell with <32 modern analogs (<0.5% of the total area) was considered to have effectively no modern analog.