Table 3.

CDM estimates of changes in life expectancy and health care costs per patient related to Hurricane Katrina

	Effect	SD	P	Extrapolated cost (US$)*†	−10% variation (US$)	+10% variation (US$)
MCLNO (20%)
Life expectancy (year)	−0.301	0.552	<0.0001
QALE	−0.242	0.431	<0.0001
Direct cost	3,502	6,391	<0.0001	62,160,699	55,944,629	68,376,769
Indirect cost	1,741	3,250	<0.0001	30,902,849	27,812,564	33,993,134
Total cost	5,243	8,664	<0.0001	93,063,548	83,757,193	102,369,903
TUHC (75%)
Life expectancy (year)	−0.078	0.455	<0.0001
QALE	−0.07	0.354	<0.0001
Direct cost	1,840	5,354	<0.0001	122,475,392	110,227,853	134,722,931
Indirect cost	430	2,682	<0.0001	28,621,967	25,759,770	31,484,163
Total cost	2,270	6,927	<0.0001	151,097,359	135,987,623	166,207,094
VA (5%)
Life expectancy (year)	−0.264	0.483	<0.0001
QALE	−1.208	0.371	<0.0001
Direct cost	2,683	5,423	<0.0001	178,587,759	160,728,983	196,446,535
Indirect cost	1,224	2,850	<0.0001	81,472,761	73,325,485	89,620,037
Total cost	3,907	7,201	<0.0001	260,060,520	234,054,468	286,066,572
Population cost				504,221,426	453,799,283	554,643,569

*Adult population (age ≥18 years): 964,677, estimated for greater New Orleans of seven parishes affected by Hurricane Katrina (Orleans Parish, Jefferson Parish, St. Bernard Parish, St. Tammany Parish, Plaquemines Parish, St. Charles Parish, and St. John the Baptist Parish), Louisiana. Source: http://censtats.census.gov/data/LA.

†Prevalence of diabetes in 2006 (Louisiana): 9.2%. Source: http://apps.nccd.cdc.gov/brfss/page.asp?cat=DB&yr=2007&state=LA#DB.