Table 3.
Simulated data parameter estimates for the 64 knot non-separable modified predictive process model
| Parameter | 50% (2.5%, 97.5%) | Parameter | 50% (2.5%, 97.5%) | Parameter | 50% (2.5%, 97.5%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Γw;1,1 | 41.09 (24.81, 51.56) | Ψ1,1 | 23.56 (20.83, 27.09) | β0 | −2.19 (−7.52, 3.07) |
| Γw;1,2 | 21.94 (18.71, 25.34) | Ψ1,2 | −0.22 (−1.01, 0.36) | β1 | −0.54 (−5.85, 4.87) |
| Γw;1,3 | 22.42 (16.80, 25.31) | Ψ1,3 | 0.01 (−0.77, 0.59) | β2 | −2.54 (−8.67, 2.60) |
| Γw;1,4 | −22.98 (−25.97, −17.70) | Ψ1,4 | −0.18 (−0.75, 0.51) | β3 | 5.09 (0.34, 10.20) |
| Γw;1,5 | −0.12 (−1.92, 0.76) | Ψ1,5 | 0.39 (−0.34, 1.73) | β4 | 0.95 (−1.97, 3.79) |
| Γw;1,6 | 0.31 (−1.74, 2.17) | Ψ1,6 | −0.42 (−1.04, 0.13) | β5 | 1.01 (−1.71, 3.52) |
| Γw;2,2 | 45.19 (35.86, 64.79) | Ψ2,2 | 50.83 (45.22, 56.46) | ϕw1 | 0.003 (0.003, 0.004) |
| Γw;2,3 | 24.06 (22.02, 28.40) | Ψ2,3 | 0.03 (−0.64, 1.35) | ϕw2 | 0.004 (0.003, 0.006) |
| Γw;2,4 | −24.27 (−27.75, −22.59) | Ψ2,4 | 0.81 (−0.06, 1.62) | ϕw3 | 0.004 (0.003, 0.007) |
| Γw;2,5 | −0.30 (−2.06, 0.86) | Ψ2,5 | 0.31 (−1.32, 1.97) | ϕw4 | 0.007 (0.004, 0.011) |
| Γw;2,6 | −0.04 (−1.01, 0.97) | Ψ2,6 | −0.22 (−1.07, 1.27) | ϕw5 | 0.010 (0.008, 0.012) |
| Γw;3,3 | 53.92 (42.78, 74.91) | Ψ3,3 | 21.12 (18.19, 24.15) | ϕw6 | 0.015 (0.005, 0.028) |
| Γw;3,4 | −24.88 (−28.52, −21.90) | Ψ3,4 | 0.25 (−0.39, 1.07) | Rangew1 | 911.85 (717.70, 996.68) |
| Γw;3,5 | −0.45 (−3.07, 1.21) | Ψ3,5 | 0.07 (−0.55, 1.40) | Rangew2 | 738.92 (487.80, 974.03) |
| Γw;3,6 | 0.46 (−0.58, 1.45) | Ψ3,6 | −0.10 (−1.79, 0.33) | Rangew3 | 672.65 (412.65, 964.63) |
| Γw;4,4 | 55.71 (46.88, 75.40) | Ψ4,4 | 43.94 (34.50, 52.04) | Rangew4 | 439.24 (272.73, 826.45) |
| Γw;4,5 | 0.24 (−1.18, 2.93) | Ψ4,5 | 0.34 (−0.21, 1.82) | Rangew5 | 301.20 (244.50, 372.67) |
| Γw;4,6 | −0.52 (−1.42, 1.19) | Ψ4,6 | 0.00 (−0.98, 2.68) | Rangew6 | 204.36 (107.68, 551.47) |
| Γw;5,5 | 58.53 (49.95, 74.85) | Ψ5,5 | 20.30 (16.23, 25.94) | ||
| Γw;5,6 | 49.10 (44.55, 56.00) | Ψ5,6 | −0.16 (−1.60, 0.47) | ||
| Γw;6,6 | 49.35 (45.98, 53.66) | Ψ6,6 | 54.39 (48.18, 62.49) |
Bold values identify those 95% credible intervals that do not include the true parameter values given in Table 2.