Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2009 Sep 14.
Published in final edited form as: Health Policy. 2006 Oct 19;82(2):167–185. doi: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2006.09.008

Table 1.

Data Used in California SimSmoke

Variable Source Specifications
I. Population model
 A. Population CA Dept. of Finance estimates Breakdowns by age, gender, and racial/ethnic groups
 B. Fertility rates CA Dept Health Services Vital Statistics data Breakdowns by age and racial/ethnic group
 C. Mortality rates CA DHS Vital Statistics Public Use Death data and Death Master File Breakdowns by age, gender, and racial/ethnic groups, total deaths and by lung cancer, COPD heart and stroke
II. Smoking model
 A. Baseline prevalence rates for current and ex-smokers NHIS for ages 18+, and 1990 CYTS <age 18. Based on 100+ cigarettes lifetime and distinction between current and previous smokers. Breakdowns by smoking experience (<1, 1-2, 3-5, 6-10, 11-14, 15+ years), age, gender, and racial/ethnic groups.
 B. Initiation rates NHIS for ages 18+, and 1990 CYTS <age 18. Breakdowns by age, gender, and racial/ethnic groups.
 C. First year quit rates NHIS Breakdowns by age, gender, and racial/ethnic groups.
 D. Relapse rates USDHHS (1989), COMMIT data and other studies Breakdowns by age
 E. Relative death risks of smokers and ex-smokers Cancer Prevention Study II (see NCI 1997 and USDHHS 2001) Breakdowns by age and gender.
III. Policy Modules
 A. Taxes Tobacco Institute, CDC website, Orzechowki and Walker (2002) Prices and taxes for 1993-2000
 B. Clean air laws CDC and CTCP website, NCI (2001) ANR database Different types of laws and their stringency
 C. Media & other educational campaigns CDC and CTCP website, and CTCP report Expenditures per capita and audience
 D. Youth access SAMHSA and FDA (see Levy et al. 2001), CTCP website Enforcement checks, penalties, community campaigns, self-service and vending machine bans