TABLE 2.
Major League Baseball Player Hazard Coefficients on Mortality, 1902–2004
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | Model 6 | Model 7 | Model 8 | Model 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age Group [20–24] | |||||||||
| 25–29 | 0.42 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| 30–34 | 0.56 | 0.72 | 0.69 | 0.72 | 0.73 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| 35–39 | 0.74* | 0.99* | 0.92* | 0.99* | 1.00* | 0.99* | 0.99* | 1.00* | 0.97* |
| 40–44 | 1.32*** | 1.67*** | 1.56*** | 1.67*** | 1.67*** | 1.67*** | 1.67*** | 1.67*** | 1.65*** |
| 45–49 | 1.68*** | 2.12*** | 1.96*** | 2.12*** | 2.12*** | 2.12*** | 2.12*** | 2.12*** | 2.09*** |
| 50–54 | 2.39*** | 2.91*** | 2.69*** | 2.91*** | 2.92*** | 2.91*** | 2.91*** | 2.91*** | 2.88*** |
| 55–59 | 2.78*** | 3.37*** | 3.09*** | 3.38*** | 3.38*** | 3.37*** | 3.37*** | 3.38*** | 3.34*** |
| 60–64 | 3.17*** | 3.83*** | 3.51*** | 3.83*** | 3.83*** | 3.83*** | 3.83*** | 3.83*** | 3.79*** |
| 65–69 | 3.60*** | 4.30*** | 3.94*** | 4.31*** | 4.31*** | 4.30*** | 4.31*** | 4.31*** | 4.27*** |
| 70–74 | 4.00*** | 4.77*** | 4.36*** | 4.77*** | 4.78*** | 4.77*** | 4.77*** | 4.77*** | 4.73*** |
| 75–79 | 4.35*** | 5.18*** | 4.72*** | 5.18*** | 5.19*** | 5.18*** | 5.18*** | 5.18*** | 5.14*** |
| 80–84 | 4.92*** | 5.81*** | 5.30*** | 5.82*** | 5.82*** | 5.81*** | 5.81*** | 5.82*** | 5.77*** |
| 85+ | 5.45*** | 6.40*** | 5.83*** | 6.40*** | 6.41*** | 6.40*** | 6.40*** | 6.40*** | 6.36*** |
| Period [<1910] | |||||||||
| 1910–1919 | − 0.20 | − 0.18 | − 0.20 | − 0.20 | − 0.20 | − 0.20 | − 0.20 | − 0.20 | |
| 1920–1929 | − 0.54 | − 0.44 | − 0.54 | − 0.54 | − 0.54 | − 0.54 | − 0.54 | − 0.53 | |
| 1930–1939 | − 1.08** | − 0.89* | − 1.08** | − 1.08** | − 1.08** | − 1.08** | − 1.08** | − 1.08** | |
| 1940–1949 | − 1.17** | − 0.92* | − 1.17** | − 1.17** | − 1.17** | − 1.17** | − 1.17** | − 1.14** | |
| 1950–1959 | − 1.47*** | − 1.14** | − 1.47*** | − 1.47*** | − 1.47*** | − 1.47*** | − 1.47*** | − 1.43*** | |
| 1960–1969 | − 1.47*** | − 1.08** | − 1.47*** | − 1.47*** | − 1.47*** | − 1.47*** | − 1.47*** | − 1.43*** | |
| 1970–2004 | − 1.97*** | − 1.39*** | − 1.97*** | − 1.97*** | − 1.97*** | − 1.97*** | − 1.97*** | − 1.97*** | |
| Cohort [Early Era] | |||||||||
| Golden Era | − 0.49*** | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Modern Era | − 1.02*** | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Anthropometric Variables | |||||||||
| Body Mass Index [normal 18.5–<25.0] | |||||||||
| Overweight (25.0–<30.0) | 0.04 | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| Obese Class I (30.0–<35.0) | 0.57 | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| Height [<6 feet] | |||||||||
| > 6 feet | 0.03 | — | — | — | — | ||||
| Handedness [right handed] | |||||||||
| Left handed | − 0.02 | — | — | — | |||||
| Performance Measures | |||||||||
| First-year rating | 0.03 | — | — | ||||||
| Career rating | 0.00 | — | |||||||
| Seasons Played [<10 years] | |||||||||
| 10+years | − 0.15** | ||||||||
| Intercept | − 7.15 | − 6.16 | − 6.15 | − 6.18 | − 6.16 | − 6.17 | − 6.19 | − 6.16 | − 6.13 |
| − 2 Log likelihood | 26773.12 | 26478.88 | 26404.04 | 26475.95 | 26478.34 | 26478.81 | 26477.38 | 26478.07 | 26470.58 |
p ≤ 0.05;
p ≤ 0.01;
p ≤ 0.001.
Note: Referent categories in brackets.
Source: Derived from Total Baseball, 8th edition, 2004.