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. 2009 Sep;7(5):422–430. doi: 10.1370/afm.997

Table 5.

Multivariate Analysis of the Association Between Diabetes Risk Factors and the Odds of Undiagnosed Type 2 Diabetes and Diagnostic Performance

Model Odds Ratio (95% CI) PValue Undiagnosed Diabetes, No. (%) AUC (95% CI)a
Model 1 12 (12.6) 0.54 (0.48–0.61)
    Obesity (BMI >27 kg/m2) 3.1 (1.9–5.0) <.001
    Hypertension 2.3 (1.5–3.5) <.001
    Family history of diabetes 1.4 (1.0–2.2) .09
Model 2 30 (31.6) 0.60 (0.54–0.66)
    Obesity 3.0 (1.9–4.9) <.001
    Hypertension 2.3 (1.5–3.5) <.001
Model 3 73 (76.8) 0.63 (0.58–0.68)
    Obesity 3.2 (2.0–5.2) <.001

AUC = area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; BMI = body mass index; CI = confidence interval.

Note: Only risk factors with P =.15 in Table 4 were included.

a An AUC of 0.50 means that the model does not predict the outcome better (more accurately) or worse (less accurately) than random guess; an AUC greater than 0.50 means that the prediction is better than random, and an AUC less than 0.50 means that the prediction is worse than random.