Table 1.
North Finland | South Finland | Netherlands | London | Baden- Württemberg | North Italy | Athens | Relation to mean summer temperature (P value) | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mean summer temperature† (°C) | 13.5 | 14.5 | 16.1 | 16.9 | 17.7 | 20.7 | 24.1 | — |
3°C band of minimum mortality (°C) | 14.3 to 17.3 | 13.3 to 16.3 | 17.3 to 20.3 | 19.3 to 22.3 | 19.0 to 22.0 | 16.8 to 19.8 | 22.7 to 25.7 | 0.027 |
Mean daily mortality in 3°C band | 70.0 (65.8 to 74.2) |
72.9 (70.6 to 75.2) |
65.1 (63.7 to 66.4) |
69.8 (67.7 to 71.8) |
55.5 (54.0 to 57.0) |
51.3 (48.7 to 53.9) |
56.7 (52.0 to 61.4) |
0.040 |
Heat | ||||||||
No of days/year warmer than upper limit of minimum mortality band | 25 | 46 | 18 | 5 | 22 | 89 | 63 | NS |
Annual heat related mortality‡ | 304*** (126 to 482) |
248** (99 to 396) |
53* (12 to 93) |
40** (13 to 68) |
108*** (56 to 159) |
325* (36 to 614) |
445* (59 to 831) |
NS |
Increase in daily mortality for each °C rise above minimum mortality band | 6.2*** (4.0 to 8.4) |
1.8*** (1.0 to 2.6) |
1.3** (0.4 to 2.3) |
3.6** (1.5 to 5.8) |
1.4** (0.6 to 2.2) |
0.8** (0.3 to 1.2) |
2.7* (0.9 to 4.6) |
NS |
Cold | ||||||||
No of days/year colder than lower limit of minimum mortality band | 302 | 275 | 312 | 330 | 308 | 230 | 251 | NS |
Annual cold related mortality‡ | 2457*** (1130 to 3786) |
1379*** (692 to 2067) |
1345*** (901 to 1788) |
3129*** (2319 to 3939) |
1936*** (1461 to 2412) |
1238*** (535 to 1940) |
2533*** (965 to 4101) |
NS |
Increase in daily mortality for each °C below minimum mortality band | 0.58*** (0.48 to 0.68) |
0.54*** (0.46 to 0.61) |
0.54*** (0.50 to 0.58) |
1.25*** (1.17 to 1. 32) |
0.53*** (0.49 to 0.57) |
0.73*** (0.60 to 0.86) |
1.60*** (1.36 to 1.83) |
NS |
P<0.05, **P<0.01, *** P<0.001.
May to August.
Excess above mortality in minimum mortality band.