Table 4.
Results for p = 10. Each row corresponds to n = 20, 50, 100. IU: independent uniform priors; BB: Barnard Beta priors. LL: log likelihood loss; SEL-P: squared error loss on Fisher's z-transformation of the partial autocorrelations; SEL-M: squared error loss on Fisher's z-transformation of the marginal correlations. Full: matrix with lag 1-3 partial autocorrelations equal to (.8, .4, .1) with the rest zero.
LL | SEL-P | SEL-M | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R | IU | BB | IU | BB | IU | BB |
AR(.8) | 1.50 | 1.90 | 1.42 | 1.56 | 1.55 | 2.27 |
.72 | .81 | .68 | .73 | .64 | .85 | |
.40 | .44 | .37 | .40 | .32 | .41 | |
AR(.6) | 1.37 | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.56 |
.69 | .71 | .69 | .69 | .68 | .72 | |
.40 | .41 | .39 | .40 | .36 | .38 | |
Full | 1.61 | 2.08 | 1.45 | 1.63 | 2.15 | 3.56 |
.74 | .85 | .69 | .74 | .66 | .99 | |
.40 | .44 | .37 | .39 | .30 | .40 |