Table 3.
Regression parameter estimates and 95% highest posterior density (HPD) intervals under various models
| Parameter | Model I | Model II | Model III | Model IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patient-level | ||||
| Gender = Female† | −3.60 (−3.61, −3.60) | −3.60 (−3.61, −3.60) | −3.60 (−3.61, −3.60) | −3.60 (−3.61, −3.60) |
| Number of primaries† | −3.04 (−3.05, −3.04) | −3.04 (−3.05, −3.04) | −3.04 (−3.05, −3.04) | −3.04 (−3.05, −3.04) |
| Colon first‡ | 3.96 (3.94, 3.97) | 3.96 (3.95, 3.97) | 3.96 (3.95, 3.97) | 3.96 (3.94, 3.97) |
| Colon cancer | ||||
| Frailty, ν1 | −2.40 (−2.90, −1.98) | −2.46 (−2.92, −2.01) | −1.70 (−1.86, −1.56) | −1.80 (−2.05, −1.57) |
| Stage | ||||
| In situ or Unstaged§ | — | — | — | — |
| Local | −0.25 (−0.33, −0.18) | −0.25 (−0.33, −0.18) | −0.25 (−0.33, −0.18) | −0.25 (−0.32, −0.18) |
| Regional | 0.03 (−0.05, 0.10) | 0.03 (−0.04, 0.10) | 0.03 (−0.05, 0.10) | 0.03 (−0.04, 0.11) |
| Distant | 1.12 (1.02, 1.21) | 1.12 (1.02, 1.21) | 1.12 (1.02, 1.21) | 1.12 (1.02, 1.20) |
| Age | ||||
| – < 55§ | — | — | — | — |
| 55 ≤ – < 65 | 0.47 (0.36, 0.58) | 0.47 (0.36, 0.58) | 0.47 (0.36, 0.57) | 0.47 (0.35, 0.57) |
| 65 ≤ – < 75 | 0.74 (0.64, 0.84) | 0.74 (0.64, 0.84) | 0.74 (0.64, 0.84) | 0.74 (0.64, 0.84) |
| 75 ≤ – | 1.16 (1.07, 1.27) | 1.16 (1.06, 1.26) | 1.16 (1.06, 1.26) | 1.16 (1.06, 1.26) |
| Rectal cancer | ||||
| Frailty, ν2 | −2.17 (−2.63, −1.72) | −2.25 (−2.73, −1.80) | −1.88 (−2.07, −1.69) | −2.07 (−2.37, −1.75) |
| Stage | ||||
| In situ or Unstaged§ | — | — | — | — |
| Local | −0.40 (−0.81, 0.02) | −0.40 (−0.81, 0.04) | −0.40 (−0.80, 0.02) | −0.40 (−0.82, 0.02) |
| Regional | 0.07 (−0.36, 0.49) | 0.07 (−0.35, 0.47) | 0.07 (−0.35, 0.49) | 0.07 (−0.35, 0.48) |
| Distant | 1.44 (1.16, 1.72) | 1.44 (1.16, 1.72) | 1.44 (1.16, 1.71) | 1.44 (1.17, 1.73) |
| Age at diagnosis | ||||
| – < 55§ | — | — | — | — |
| 55 ≤ – < 65 | 0.36 (0.05, 0.66) | 0.35 (0.05, 0.65) | 0.36 (0.05, 0.66) | 0.35 (0.04, 0.64) |
| 65 ≤ – < 75 | 0.76 (0.36, 1.17) | 0.76 (0.35, 1.16) | 0.76 (0.36, 1.18) | 0.76 (0.36, 1.17) |
| 75 ≤ – | 1.28 (0.86, 1.70) | 1.28 (0.87, 1.71) | 1.28 (0.87, 1.72) | 1.28 (0.86, 1.70) |
†,‡
Notes: Precision is 1 × 10−1 and 1 × 10−2, respectively.
§
Reference categories.