Table 6.
Change in industrial growth results, 2002-2025
| Point change in growth rate in "No AIDS" scenario 1 | Ratio of KZN to Other SA growth rate changes (1)/(2) |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| KZN | Other SA | ||
| (1) | (2) | ||
| All sectors (total GDP) | 1.60 | 1.42 | 1.13 |
| Agriculture | 1.88 | 1.42 | 1.32 |
| Mining | 1.93 | 1.66 | 1.16 |
| Food processing | 1.74 | 1.40 | 1.24 |
| Textiles & clothing | 1.66 | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| Wood products | 1.46 | 1.46 | 1.00 |
| Chemicals | 1.22 | 1.47 | 0.83 |
| Non-metal minerals | 1.72 | 1.70 | 1.02 |
| Machinery | 1.53 | 1.61 | 0.95 |
| Electrical machinery | 2.28 | 1.67 | 1.37 |
| Scientific equipment | 1.64 | 1.41 | 1.16 |
| Transport equipment | 1.59 | 1.44 | 1.10 |
| Other manufactures | 1.55 | 1.53 | 1.01 |
| Electricity | 2.05 | 1.38 | 1.49 |
| Water and gas | 1.47 | 1.61 | 0.91 |
| Construction | 1.91 | 1.93 | 0.99 |
| Trade services | 1.82 | 1.47 | 1.23 |
| Hotels & catering | 1.64 | 1.45 | 1.13 |
| Transport services | 1.63 | 1.52 | 1.08 |
| Communications | 1.76 | 1.51 | 1.17 |
| Financial services | 1.89 | 1.53 | 1.24 |
| Business services | 1.95 | 1.49 | 1.31 |
Source: Provincial DCGE model results.
1. Point change in annual growth rate between "AIDS" and "No AIDS" scenarios