Table 3.

Results from a Bayesian immigration-death model using three different sets of priors for estimation of Schistosoma mansoni age-specific prevalence among community members in the village of Zouatta II, western Côte d’Ivoire

Parameter	Bayesian model with prior set 1: A, C′ ∼ N(0,100)I(0,)b, γ ∼ N(0,1) and δ ∼ N(0,1)I(0,)		Bayesian model with prior set 2: A, C′ ∼ N(0,10)I(0,), γ ∼ N(0,10) and δ ∼ N(0,10)I(0,)		Bayesian model with prior set 1: A, C′ ∼ N(0,10)I(0,), γ ∼ N(0,1) and δ ∼ N(0,1)I(0,)
	Mean estimate of the posterior distribution	SD	Mean estimate of the posterior distribution	SD	Mean estimate of the posterior distribution	SD
A	0.1310	0.0659	0.4759	0.2941	0.2187	0.1180
C′	10.700	5.2920	3.5450	1.7470	4.1060	2.2240
δ	0.0908	0.0428	0.1177	0.0305	0.0725	0.0507
γ	0.6604	0.7613	4.2540	2.1920	0.7255	0.9156
DICa	70.76		57.73		−2.74

^aDIC, deviance information criterion; measures the model fit, the smaller the value the better the model fits the data.

^bN(0,100)I(0,) indicates a Normal distribution with mean 0 and variance 100, constrained to positive values.