Table 2.
Vaccine Scenario | New HIV Infections | Incremental Costsb (billions) | Incremental QALYs b (millions) | ICER relative to: |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Targeted Populationa | No vaccination | High-risk Vaccination | |||
No Vaccination | 1,286,009 | --- | --- | --- | --- |
75% Efficacy, Lifetime Duration, Price $1000 | |||||
Universal Vaccination | 373,757 | $130.2 | 8.7 | $15,010 | $93,860 |
High-risk Group Vaccination | 512,044 | −$30.5 | 7.0 | Cost-saving | --- |
50% Efficacy, Lifetime Duration, Price $1000 | |||||
Universal Vaccination | 613,121 | $142.3 | 6.3 | $22,435 | $126,416 |
High-risk Group Vaccination | 718,739 | −$20.1 | 5.1 | Cost-saving | --- |
75% Efficacy, 5-year Duration, Price $1000 | |||||
Universal Vaccination | 837,566 | $152.7 | 4.4 | $34,447 | $193,080 |
High-risk Group Vaccination | 902,169 | −$11.7 | 3.6 | Cost-saving | --- |
75% Efficacy, Lifetime Duration, Price $500 | |||||
Universal Vaccination | 373,757 | $42.5 | 8.7 | $4,893 | $42,599 |
High-risk Group Vaccination | 512,044 | −$34.4 | 7.0 | Cost-saving | --- |
Universal Vaccination = Vaccination of high-risk and low-risk groups.
ICER = Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, relative to no vaccination or high-risk group vaccination.
Efficacy = Decrease in vaccinated individual’s chance of acquiring HIV.
Duration = Average length of protection conferred by preventive vaccine.
All results in this table assume 75% vaccination coverage of the targeted population.
Incremental costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) are relative to no vaccination.