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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2009 Oct 6.
Published in final edited form as: Alcohol Clin Exp Res. 2009 May 4;33(8):1440–1449. doi: 10.1111/j.1530-0277.2009.00974.x

Table A1.

Predicted versus published proportions for transition out of nondrinker state and transition into dependence in 4 age and gender strata

Proportion transitioning
out of nondrinker
statea
 Proportion transitioning
into dependence in the
future compared with
the total ever being
dependentb
Stratum Model
predicted
proportion		 Published
proportion		 Model
predicted
proportion		 Published
proportion
25-year-old men 0.56 0.55 0.33 0.33
25-year-old women 0.35 0.37
50-year-old men 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.05
50-year-old women 0 0
a

Analysis adjusting for gender as published in the National Household Interview Survey (Adams and Schoenborn, 2006).

b

Analysis unadjusted for gender as published in the National Epidemiologic Survey of Alcohol Related Conditions (Dawson et al., 2005).