TABLE 1.
Hypothetical Scenario | % of Population Successfully Treated | Remaining Life Expectancy in Years | QALY-Adjusted Life Expectancy in Years | Lifetime Medical Spending,ab $ | Value of Treatment,b $ |
Status Quo | 30.19 | 15.53 | 170 013 | ||
Treatment effective for 10% of at-risk population | |||||
Diabetes | 4.0 | 30.32 | 15.60 | 168 836 | 7 957 |
Hypertension | 8.0 | 30.33 | 15.62 | 168 868 | 10 341 |
Obesity | 6.8 | 30.25 | 15.56 | 169 511 | 3 673 |
Smoking | 2.5 | 30.30 | 15.58 | 170 643 | 3 854 |
Treatment effective for 25% of at-risk population | |||||
Diabetes | 10.8 | 30.53 | 15.71 | 166 298 | 21 305 |
Hypertension | 20.8 | 30.58 | 15.78 | 166 953 | 27 614 |
Obesity | 18.1 | 30.35 | 15.62 | 168 613 | 9 817 |
Smoking | 7.0 | 30.44 | 15.63 | 171 214 | 8 447 |
Treatment effective for 50% of at-risk population | |||||
Diabetes | 21.8 | 30.89 | 15.89 | 162 504 | 43 664 |
Hypertension | 43.0 | 31.07 | 16.07 | 163 919 | 60 045 |
Obesity | 35.2 | 30.52 | 15.70 | 167 708 | 18 820 |
Smoking | 14.8 | 30.72 | 15.74 | 172 517 | 18 306 |
Treatment effective for 100% of at-risk population | |||||
Diabetes | 43.0 | 31.55 | 16.23 | 155 190 | 85 120 |
Hypertension | 84.8 | 31.93 | 16.58 | 158 392 | 117 015 |
Obesity | 71.3 | 30.79 | 15.85 | 164 905 | 36 878 |
Smoking | 28.0 | 31.15 | 15.91 | 174 479 | 33 287 |
Note. QALY = quality-adjusted life-year. Lifetime medical spending and QALYs were discounted at 3%. Value of treatment was computed relative to the status quo and calculated as the benefit from additional QALYs ($100 000 per year) minus the change in medical spending.
Derived from the medical component of the consumer price index published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Spending inflated to constant 2004 dollars.