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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2010 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Soc Sci Res. 2009 Dec 1;38(4):897–920. doi: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2009.04.001

Table 2.

Estimation of the Composition of the 1920 Industrial Structure by Immigraton Generation Based on Assumptions of Generational Replacement from 1880 to 1920

Expected Workforce in 1920
SHIFT (Actual -Expected)
ACTUAL 1920 WORKFORCE (in thousands) 4th + Gen 3rd Gen 4th + Gen 3rd Gen SHARE OF 1920 LABOR FORCE FROM:

Immigrant Generation Based on 1880: Based on 1880: From 1920 From1880 2nd Gen Total

Total 3rd + 2nd 1st 3+ Gen 2nd Gen 3+ Gen 2nd Gen 1st & 2nd Expected Shift Imm. Share

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12


(r * 1880 3rd +) (r * 1880 2nd) (3+4)/(1) (6/1) (8/1) (9+10+11)


AGRICULTURE 10,235 7,897 1,373 967 11,667 1,167 −4,488 −449 23% 11% −4% 30%
MINING 1,270 668 192 410 189 83 275 121 47% 7% 10% 64%
206 Metal mining 181 62 34 85 20 5 30 7 66% 3% 4% 72%
216 Coal mining 834 414 130 291 56 28 221 109 50% 3% 13% 67%
226 Crude petroleum and natural gas extraction 145 126 12 6 8 2 92 24 13% 2% 16% 31%
236 Nonmettalic mining and quarrying, except fuel 110 66 16 28 104 49 −59 −28 40% 44% −25% 59%
0
246 CONSTRUCTION 1,942 1,077 394 471 778 185 92 22 45% 10% 1% 55%
0
MANUFACTURING 10,039 4,724 2,451 2,863 1,793 971 1,272 689 53% 10% 7% 69%
Wood and Mineral Products 1,288 809 203 276 390 141 205 74 37% 11% 6% 54%
Metals (Steel and Iron) 1,509 647 326 536 164 115 217 151 57% 8% 10% 75%
336 Blast furnaces, steel works, & rolling mills 570 252 99 219 62 43 86 60 56% 8% 11% 74%
337 Other primary iron and steel industries 310 133 61 116 18 13 60 42 57% 4% 14% 75%
338 Primary nonferrous industries 142 53 28 60 20 12 13 8 62% 9% 6% 77%
346 Fabricated steel products 386 170 105 110 49 39 46 36 56% 10% 9% 75%
347 Fabricated nonferrous metal products 42 17 15 9 1 1 7 9 58% 2% 21% 82%
348 Not specified metal industries 59 22 17 21 14 7 1 0 63% 11% 0% 75%
Machinery 2,007 921 554 531 119 45 548 209 54% 2% 10% 67%
356 Agricultural machinery and tractors 57 28 13 16 11 8 5 4 51% 14% 7% 72%
357 Office and store machines 39 22 11 6 1 0 22 0 43% 0% 0% 43%
358 Misc machinery 626 260 190 176 12 8 145 95 58% 1% 15% 75%
367 Electrical machinery, equipment and supplies 244 112 81 50 1 1 56 55 54% 0% 23% 77%
376 Motor vehicles and motor vehicle equipment 487 225 125 137 0 0 225 0 54% 0% 0% 54%
378 Ship and boat building and repairing 391 193 98 100 3 1 142 47 51% 0% 12% 63%
379 Railroad and misc transportation equipment 158 78 35 45 91 28 −32 −10 51% 18% −6% 62%
Food & Tobacco 1,007 504 224 278 199 93 144 68 50% 9% 7% 66%
Textiles/Footwear/Leather 1,933 738 509 686 407 312 10 8 62% 16% 0% 78%
436 Knitting mills 130 66 37 27 7 5 31 23 49% 4% 18% 71%
437 Dyeing and finishing textiles, except knit goods 47 15 13 19 3 2 5 5 67% 5% 10% 83%
438 Carpets, rugs, and other floor coverings 34 10 11 13 5 8 1 2 71% 25% −6% 89%
439 Yarn, thread, and fabric 792 334 193 265 138 163 15 18 58% 21% 2% 81%
446 Misc textile mill products 63 20 18 26 20 15 −8 −6 68% 23% −10% 82%
448 Apparel and accessories 451 123 121 207 28 31 30 34 73% 7% 8% 87%
449 Misc fabricated textile products 35 10 10 14 11 5 −4 −2 71% 15% −6% 80%
487 Leather: tanned, curried, and finished 82 31 19 32 52 22 −30 −12 62% 27% −15% 73%
488 Footwear, except rubber 260 113 77 70 130 52 −49 −20 56% 20% −8% 69%
489 Leather products, except footwear 39 15 11 13 14 7 4 2 62% 19% −6% 75%
Paper and Printing 628 318 199 111 121 84 67 47 49% 13% 7% 70%
Chemical/Petro/Rubber 632 341 134 157 30 17 185 108 46% 3% 17% 66%
Miscellenous 1,035 446 302 288 363 163 56 25 57% 16% −2% 70%
TRANSPORTATION, COMMUNICATION AND UTILITIES 3,825 2,300 833 692 1,228 305 614 153 40% 8% 4% 52%
506 Railroads and railway 2,047 1,280 403 365 698 153 352 77 38% 7% 4% 49%
516 Street railways and bus lines 223 123 49 51 16 8 67 33 45% 3% 15% 63%
526 Trucking service 428 261 108 59 176 62 17 6 39% 14% 1% 55%
527 Warehousing and storage 57 34 14 9 9 1 20 3 41% 2% 5% 48%
536 Taxicab service 80 46 21 13 6 2 27 11 43% 3% 13% 59%
546 Water transportation 255 118 45 92 136 33 −41 −10 54% 13% −4% 63%
556–568 Misc transportation 120 64 26 30 138 28 −84 −17 46% 23% −14% 55%
578 Telephone 279 178 85 16 2 2 83 90 36% 1% 32% 69%
579 Telegraph 81 51 22 7 29 11 8 3 36% 14% 4% 54%
586 Electric light and power 109 68 27 14 4 2 46 16 37% 1% 15% 54%
587 Gas and steam supply systems 74 40 17 17 7 2 24 6 46% 3% 8% 57%
588–598 Misc. utilities 73 37 16 20 7 2 22 6 49% 3% 9% 61%
0
WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE 4,919 2,493 1,223 1,202 1,456 538 364 135 49% 11% 3% 63%
Wholesale 870 481 228 160 265 54 135 28 45% 6% 3% 54%
Retail 4,050 2,012 995 1,043 1,191 484 240 97 50% 12% 2% 65%
PRODUCER SERVICES 1,657 942 494 221 333 77 432 100 43% 5% 6% 54%
716 Banking and credit 287 181 83 23 33 6 121 21 37% 2% 7% 46%
726 Security and commodity brokerage and invest companies 89 51 29 9 27 4 18 3 42% 4% 3% 49%
736 Insurance 250 150 70 29 21 3 112 14 40% 1% 6% 47%
746 Real estate 226 129 50 47 20 4 88 17 43% 2% 7% 52%
806 Advertising 26 13 9 4 1 0 12 0 50% 0% 0% 50%
807 Accounting, auditing, and bookkeeping services 102 52 37 13 63 24 −25 −9 49% 23% −9% 63%
808 Misc business services 443 214 154 74 62 19 102 31 52% 4% 7% 63%
879 Legal services 145 95 40 11 88 15 −7 −1 35% 10% −1% 44%
898 Engineering and architectural services 84 53 20 11 17 4 27 6 37% 4% 7% 48%
0
PERSONAL SERVICES 3,851 2,350 678 823 2,001 628 −213 −67 39% 16% −2% 54%
816 Auto repair services and garages 342 232 77 33 32% -- -- --
817 Misc repair services 224 130 46 48 208 65 −109 −34 42% 29% −15% 56%
826 Private households 1,728 1,135 244 350 1,331 360 −438 −118 34% 21% −7% 48%
836 Hotels and lodging places 507 291 91 125 100 20 143 28 43% 4% 6% 52%
846 Laundering, cleaning, and dyeing 204 111 43 51 47 12 41 11 46% 6% 5% 57%
847 Dressmaking shops 242 135 65 43 200 125 −117 −73 44% 52% −30% 66%
848 Shoe repair shops 76 22 5 49 3 1 12 5 72% 2% 7% 80%
849 Misc personal services 300 173 51 76 65 26 58 23 42% 9% 8% 59%
857 Theaters and motion pictures 115 65 28 21 43% -- -- --
858 Bowling alleys, and billiard and pool parlors 35 20 7 8 2 1 12 5 45% 2% 15% 62%
859 Misc entertainment and recreation services 77 39 20 19 47 18 −19 −7 50% 23% −9% 64%
0
SOCIAL SERVICES 2,782 1,782 676 324 707 128 803 145 36% 5% 5% 46%
868 Medical and other health services, except hospitals 319 204 73 42 148 13 39 3 36% 4% 1% 41%
869 Hospitals 169 90 44 34 1 0 67 22 46% 0% 13% 60%
888 Educational services 978 686 226 66 308 64 260 54 30% 7% 6% 42%
896 Welfare and religious services 206 120 41 46 84 15 18 3 42% 7% 2% 51%
897 Nonprofit membership organizs. 39 24 11 4 2 0 20 2 39% 0% 6% 45%
899 Misc professional and related 34 18 9 8 12 2 3 0 48% 7% 1% 57%
906 Postal service 217 148 55 14 33 5 96 14 32% 2% 6% 40%
916 Federal public administration 362 243 80 39 41 11 151 39 33% 3% 11% 47%
926 State public administration 30 20 8 3 5 1 11 3 34% 4% 9% 46%
936 Local public administration 429 230 131 68 73 16 116 26 46% 4% 6% 56%
0
0
Total Work Force (Gainful Workers) 40,519 24,232 8,314 7,973 20,150 4,082 0 0 40% 10% 0% 50%

Notes:

(1). The generational compostion of each industrial sector is estimated in two steps:

a) GROWTH: the expected 1920 workers in each industry is assumed to be proportional to the national growth rate appied to the number of 1880 workers in the industry:

-- the 1920 4th and higher generation is assumed to be the descendants of the 1880 3rd and higher generations in that industry

-- the 1920 3rd generation is assumed to be the descendants of the 1880 2nd generation in that industry

b) SHIFT: the difference between the actual 1920 3rd and higher number in each industry and the expected based on assumed GROWTH

-- the estimated SHIFT for the 1920 3rd and higher generations is allocated proportional to the relative size of the 3rd and higher and 2nd generations in 1880.

(2). Columns 1, 2, 3 and 4 are the actual number (in thousands) of gainful workers in each industry, by immigrant generation (3rd & higher, 2nd, and 1st) in 1920.

(3). Columns 5 and 6 are the expected number of gainful workers in each industry in 1920 assuming proportional change from the the 1880 2nd & higher gen in to the 1920 3rd and higher gen

a) Col 5: Expected 1920 gainful workers in each industry from 1880 3rd and higher gen workers = r * 1880 3rd and higher gen workers in the industry

b) Col 6: Expected 1920 gainful workers in each industry from 1880 2nd gen workers = r * 1880 2nd gen workers in the industry

where r = the ratio of total 3rd and higher gen wokers in 1920 to the 1880 total 2nd gen and higher workers

(4). Columns 7 and 8 are the Shift of Workers (Actual - Expected) from 1880 to 1920 in each industry, assuming that the 1920 3rd and higher gen workers “inherit” the industry composition of the 2nd & higher gen workers in 1880. The expected 1920 workers are distributed proportionally to the 1880 generations of 3rd and higher and 2nd.

a) Col 7: The proportional share of the 1920 3rd gen & higher actual workers in each industry minus the expected 1920 “descendants” of the 1880 2nd and higher generation workers

b) Col 8: The proportional share of the 1920 3rd gen and higher actual workers in each industry minus the expected 1920 “descendants” of the 1880 2nd and higher generation workers

Sources: 1880 and 1920 PUMS from Ruggles et al. (2004)