Table 1. Out of Africa inferred parameters.
parametera | Maximum likelihood | conventional bootstrap 95% confidence interval | parametric bootstrap bias-corrected 95% confidence interval |
7,300 | 4,400–10,100 | 6,300–9,200 | |
12,300 | 11,500–13,900 | 11,100–13,100 | |
2,100 | 1,400–2,900 | 1,700–2,600 | |
1,000 | 500–1,900 | 500–1,500 | |
(%) | 0.40 | 0.15–0.66 | 0.26–0.57 |
510 | 310–910 | 320–750 | |
(%) | 0.55 | 0.23–0.88 | 0.32–0.79 |
() | 25 | 15–34 | 19–36 |
() | 3.0 | 2.0–6.0 | 1.6–7.6 |
() | 1.9 | 0.3–10.4 | 0.7–6.9b |
() | 9.6 | 2.3–17.4b | 5.7–20.2 |
(kya) | 220 | 100–510 | 90–410 |
(kya) | 140 | 40–270 | 60–310 |
(kya) | 21.2 | 17.2–26.5 | 17.6–23.9 |
aSee Figure 2B for model schematic. Growth rates and migration rates are per generation.
bOne low-migration outlier was removed for each of these estimations.