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. 2009 Nov 5;4(11):e7638. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0007638

Table 2. Sensitivity, specificity, positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive value in percent (exact 95% confidence interval in brackets) for CSF and MRI parameters regarding conversion of clinically isolated syndrome to definite multiple sclerosis.

Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV
OCB 96 (86.0–99.5) 33 (18.6–49.1) 64 (51.5–74.4) 87 (59.5–98.3)
MRI 78 (63.4–88.2) 48 (31.5–63.9) 64 (50.9–76.5) 63 (43.9–80.0)
Barkhof criteria 35 (21.7–49.6) 80 (64.4–91.0) 68 (46.5–85.1) 50 (37.2–62.8)
MRZR 47 (32.5–61.7) 75 (58.8–87.3) 70 (51.3–84.4) 54 (39.7–67.0)
MRZS 31 (18.3–45.4) 90 (76.3–97.2) 79 (54.4–94.0) 51 (39.2–63.6)
OCB+MRI 73 (58.9–85.1) 60 (43.3–75.1) 69 (54.9–81.3) 65 (47.5–79.8)
OCB+Barkhof 33 (20.0–47.5) 83 (67.2–92.7) 70 (47.1–86.8) 50 (37.4–62.6)
OCB+MRZR 47 (32.5–61.7) 78 (61.6–89.2) 72 (53.3–86.3) 54 (40.7–67.6)
OCB+MRZS 31 (18.3–45.4) 90 (76.3–97.2) 79 (54.4–94.0) 51 (39.2–63.6)
MRI+MRZR 33 (20.0–47.5) 90 (76.3–97.2) 80 (56.3–94.3) 52 (39.8–64.4)
Barkhof+MRZR 14 (6.0–27.2) 95 (83.1–99.4) 78 (40.0–97.2) 48 (36.2–59.0)
MRI+MRZS 20 (10.2–34.3) 98 (86.8–99.9) 91 (58.7–99.8) 50 (38.5–61.5)
Barkhof+MRZS 10 (3.4–22.2) 98 (86.8–99.9) 83 (35.9–99.6) 47 (35.9–58.3)
OCB+MRI+MRZR 33 (20.0–47.5) 93 (79.6–98.4) 84 (60.4–96.6) 53 (40.6–64.9)
OCB+Barkhof+MRZR 14 (5.9–27.2) 98 (86.8–99.9) 88 (47.4–99.7) 48 (36.9–59.5)
OCB+MRI+MRZS 20 (10.2–34.3) 98 (86.8–99.9) 91 (58.7–99.8) 50 (38.5–61.5)
OCB+Barkhof+MRZS 10 (3.4–22.2) 98 (86.8–99.9) 83 (35.9–99.6) 47 (35.9–58.3)

MRZR  =  AI for measles, rubella, zoster, two or more AI ≥1.5, MRZS  =  MRZ score >10, OCB  =  oligoclonal bands in cerebrospinal fluid, MRI  =  two or more lesions in T2-weighted magnetic resonance imaging of the brain.