Table 2.
Subject | Model | Prediction horizon | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 min | 60 min | ||||
Root mean square error (mg/dl) | Clarke error grid % (A+B) | Root mean square error (mg/dl) | Clarke error grid % (A+B) | ||
2 | Self | 17.5 | 100.0 | 24.8 | 99.8 |
Cross-subject | 21.1 ± 0.8 | 99.7 ± 0.0 | 30.4 ± 1.1 | 99.7 ± 0.0 | |
6 | Self | 22.2 | 98.6 | 35.0 | 97.3 |
Cross-subject | 25.9 ± 1.3 | 95.8 ± 1.0 | 40.1 ± 1.0 | 90.9 ± 2.7 | |
8 | Self | 20.9 | 99.8 | 33.6 | 98.0 |
Cross-subject | 24.8 ± 1.5 | 98.7 ± 0.4 | 37.9 ± 1.0 | 96.2 ± 0.4 | |
9 | Self | 26.8 | 99.6 | 40.1 | 98.9 |
Cross-subject | 26.0 ± 1.3 | 99.6 ± 0.1 | 38.3 ± 0.7 | 99.0 ± 0.2 | |
11 | Self | 29.6 | 99.0 | 41.1 | 98.4 |
Cross-subject | 30.8 ± 0.4 | 99.2 ± 0.1 | 41.5 ± 0.4 | 98.1 ± 0.3 | |
12 | Self | 24.0 | 97.6 | 36.0 | 95.3 |
Cross-subject | 26.9 ± 1.3 | 97.8 ± 0.8 | 40.2 ± 1.0 | 95.2 ± 0.6 | |
13 | Self | 20.0 | 99.3 | 29.5 | 98.6 |
Cross-subject | 24.6 ± 1.3 | 98.2 ± 0.2 | 36.1 ± 0.7 | 96.6 ± 0.1 | |
14 | Self | 19.2 | 99.0 | 25.5 | 98.8 |
Cross-subject | 20.6 ± 1.1 | 98.6 ± 0.2 | 28.1 ± 0.5 | 97.6 ± 0.5 | |
15 | Self | 20.1 | 98.7 | 25.7 | 97.4 |
Cross-subject | 22.3 ± 0.7 | 95.9 ± 1.4 | 29.4 ± 0.7 | 92.5 ± 2.4 |
For results based on individually tuned models, analysis is performed on the last 4000 data points. For cross-subject models, where the results for each subject are averaged over the other eight model predictions using their own individualized models, analysis is performed for the entire range of the predicted 6000 data points. Their standard deviation over the other eight predictions is also illustrated.